AEK Athens vs OFI Crete prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: AEK Athens vs OFI Crete, 2026-10-10, Greek Super League, kickoff 19:30 Athens time

stadiumGREEK SUPER LEAGUE•16:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

AEK Athens

VS16:30 GMT

OFI Crete

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.38

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

66%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

52%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Over 2.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

66%

ODDS

1.45

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 AEK AthensX2 OFI Crete

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
AEK Athens (1)	74.8%	74.1%	1.35	trending_down-0.7 pp
Draw (X)	15.8%	16.5%	6.08	trending_up+0.7 pp
OFI Crete (2)	9.5%	9.5%	10.56	trending_flat+0.0 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK66%

Over 2.5 goals

Our probability: 66%.

Indicative odds: 1.45

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

AEK Athens 2 - 0 OFI Crete

PROBABILITY

11.1%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.0Exp. cards 5.1

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

AEK Athens

75%1.341.26

Draw

16%6.326.00

OFI Crete

10%10.3410.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

AEK Athens or draw

90%1.11—

OFI Crete or draw

26%3.92—

Either team wins (no draw)

84%1.19—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

85%1.17—

Under 1.5 goals

15%6.78—

Over 2.5 goals

66%1.53—

Under 2.5 goals

34%2.90—

Over 3.5 goals

44%2.29—

Under 3.5 goals

56%1.77—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

52%1.92—

Not both score (NG)

48%2.08—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

64%1.57—

Under 7.5 corners

36%2.76—

Over 8.5 corners

52%1.91—

Under 8.5 corners

48%2.10—

Over 9.5 corners

41%2.41—

Under 9.5 corners

59%1.71—

Over 10.5 corners

32%3.17—

Under 10.5 corners

68%1.46—

Over 11.5 corners

23%4.32—

Under 11.5 corners

77%1.30—

Over 12.5 corners

16%6.09—

Under 12.5 corners

84%1.20—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

93%1.08—

Under 1.5 cards

7%14.29—

Over 2.5 cards

87%1.15—

Under 2.5 cards

13%7.82—

Over 3.5 cards

74%1.35—

Under 3.5 cards

26%3.87—

Over 4.5 cards

57%1.74—

Under 4.5 cards

43%2.35—

Over 5.5 cards

40%2.47—

Under 5.5 cards

60%1.68—

Over 6.5 cards

26%3.84—

Under 6.5 cards

74%1.35—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

AEK Athens

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 10-3

DWWDW

WAVolos NFC2-1

DAAsteras Tripoli1-1

WHLASK Linz1-0

WHAris5-0

DAKifisia1-1

OFI Crete

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 8-4

LWWWD

DHAsteras Tripoli2-2

WHTSG Hoffenheim2-0

WAOlympiacos1-0

WHKifisia2-0

LAAris1-2

Head-to-head

2025-12-21

AEK Athens2 - 1OFI Crete

2025-11-09

OFI Crete0 - 1AEK Athens

2024-12-08

OFI Crete1 - 2AEK Athens

2024-08-18

AEK Athens3 - 0OFI Crete

2024-01-28

AEK Athens3 - 0OFI Crete

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Team comparison

AEK Athens

VS

OFI Crete

#62 ▼5Power Index 60.0

Power Ranking

#241 ▼1Power Index 30.2

€86m4th in the league

Squad value

€22m6th in the league

Marko Nikolicsince 1 Jul 2025 · 64 games · 2.13 pts/game

Head coach

Christos Kontissince 29 Oct 2025 · 46 games · 1.57 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

75%Market 78% -3

Draw (X)

16%Market 14%

Away win (2)

10%Market 8%

Over 2.5 goals

66%Market: —

Both teams to score

52%Market: —

Expected goals

2.6 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: AEK Athens 2 - 0 OFI Crete (11.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 011.1%
2. 3 - 09.5%
3. 2 - 19.2%
4. 1 - 08.7%
5. 3 - 17.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by OFI Crete

Goals scored by AEK Athens

01234503.42.81.20.30.10.018.77.23.00.80.20.0211.19.23.81.00.20.039.57.83.20.90.20.046.05.02.10.60.10.053.12.51.00.30.10.0

Next matches of AEK Athens

24/10/2026 · GRE.1HomePanetolikos

28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayPAOK

1/11/2026 · GRE.1AwayPanathinaikos

Next matches of OFI Crete

22/10/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAHomeBayer Leverkusen

25/10/2026 · GRE.1HomePAOK

28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayAEL

Our model gives AEK Athens win 75%, draw 16%, OFI Crete win 10%. over 2.5 goals 66%. both teams to score 52%. expected goals 2.55 - 0.82. largest gap to the market: AEK Athens win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.