Kilmarnock vs Rangers prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Rangers vs Kilmarnock, 2026-10-10, Scottish Premiership, kickoff 17:00 Athens time

stadiumSCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Rangers

VS14:00 GMT

Kilmarnock

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

4.06

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

77%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

53%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Rangers 3 - 0 Kilmarnock

PROBABILITY

10.1%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Rangers

84%1.191.12

Draw

10%9.689.00

Kilmarnock

5%18.3517.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Rangers or draw

95%1.06—

Kilmarnock or draw

16%6.34—

Either team wins (no draw)

90%1.12—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

91%1.09—

Under 1.5 goals

9%11.60—

Over 2.5 goals

77%1.30—

Under 2.5 goals

23%4.35—

Over 3.5 goals

58%1.73—

Under 3.5 goals

42%2.37—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

53%1.90—

Not both score (NG)

47%2.11—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Rangers

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · goals 8-1

WWWWW

WACeltic1-0

WHCeltic3-0

WHSt Mirren1-0

WHMotherwell1-0

WAFalkirk2-1

Kilmarnock

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 3-3

LDLWD

DHHeart of Midlothian1-1

WAHibernian1-0

LHAberdeen1-1

DAAberdeen0-0

LHSt Mirren0-1

Head-to-head

2026-02-04

Rangers5 - 1Kilmarnock

2025-12-06

Kilmarnock0 - 3Rangers

2025-10-26

Rangers3 - 1Kilmarnock

2025-02-26

Kilmarnock2 - 4Rangers

2024-12-04

Rangers6 - 0Kilmarnock

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Team comparison

Rangers

VS

Kilmarnock

#67 ▼3Power Index 59.0

Power Ranking

#233 ▼1Power Index 32.2

€156m1st in the league

Squad value

€6.7m11th in the league

Derek McInnessince 17 Jun 2026 · 15 games · 2.00 pts/game

Head coach

Neil McCannsince 6 Jan 2026 · 33 games · 1.42 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

84%Market 88% -4

Draw (X)

10%Market 8%

Away win (2)

5%Market 4%

Over 2.5 goals

77%Market: —

Both teams to score

53%Market: —

Expected goals

3.3 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Rangers 3 - 0 Kilmarnock (10.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 3 - 010.1%
2. 2 - 09.2%
3. 4 - 08.2%
4. 3 - 17.9%
5. 2 - 17.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Kilmarnock

Goals scored by Rangers

01234501.71.40.50.10.00.015.74.51.80.50.10.029.27.32.90.80.20.0310.17.93.10.80.20.048.26.52.60.70.10.055.44.21.70.40.10.0

Next matches of Rangers

24/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeSt Johnstone

28/10/2026 · SCO.1AwayHeart of Midlothian

7/11/2026 · SCO.1AwaySt Mirren

Next matches of Kilmarnock

24/10/2026 · SCO.1AwayFalkirk

28/10/2026 · SCO.1AwayDundee

31/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeSt Johnstone

Our model gives Rangers win 84%, draw 10%, Kilmarnock win 5%. over 2.5 goals 77%. both teams to score 53%. expected goals 3.27 - 0.79. largest gap to the market: Rangers win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.