1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: 1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg, 2026-10-10, German Bundesliga, kickoff 16:30 Athens time

stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•13:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

1. FC Union Berlin

VS13:30 GMT

SV Elversberg

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.00

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MODEL OVER 2.5

58%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

61%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

1X (1. FC Union Berlin or draw)

MODEL PROBABILITY

66%

ODDS

1.45

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 1. FC Union BerlinX2 SV Elversberg

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
1. FC Union Berlin (1)	39.2%	39.2%	2.55	trending_flat+0.0 pp
Draw (X)	26.7%	26.7%	3.75	trending_flat+0.0 pp
SV Elversberg (2)	34.1%	34.1%	2.93	trending_flat+0.0 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK66%

1X (1. FC Union Berlin or draw)

Our probability: 66%.

Indicative odds: 1.45

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

1. FC Union Berlin 1 - 1 SV Elversberg

PROBABILITY

11.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.8Exp. cards 3.7

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

1. FC Union Berlin

41%2.452.35

Draw

25%4.023.45

SV Elversberg

34%2.912.70

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

1. FC Union Berlin or draw

66%1.52—

SV Elversberg or draw

59%1.69—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

80%1.241.16

Under 1.5 goals

20%5.114.40

Over 2.5 goals

58%1.731.63

Under 2.5 goals

42%2.362.30

Over 3.5 goals

35%2.832.40

Under 3.5 goals

65%1.551.55

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

61%1.65—

Not both score (NG)

39%2.54—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

1. FC Union Berlin

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-17

DLLLW

WARijeka1-0

LABayern Munich0-7

LHSchalke 041-3

LABayer Leverkusen0-4

DHEintracht Frankfurt3-3

SV Elversberg

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-9

WLDLW

WATSG Hoffenheim3-2

LASV Waldhof Mannheim1-2

DASchalke 040-0

LHBayern Munich1-2

WABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

1. FC Union Berlin

VS

SV Elversberg

#122 ▲1Power Index 49.3

Power Ranking

#95 ▲7Power Index 52.7

€111m15th in the league

Squad value

€74m17th in the league

Mauro Lustrinellisince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.14 pts/game

Head coach

Vincent Wagnersince 1 Jul 2025 · 43 games · 1.81 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

41%Market 40%

Draw (X)

25%Market 26%

Away win (2)

34%Market 34%

Over 2.5 goals

58%Market 59%

Both teams to score

61%Market: —

Expected goals

1.6 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: 1. FC Union Berlin 1 - 1 SV Elversberg (11.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.2%
2. 2 - 18.8%
3. 1 - 28.0%
4. 1 - 07.8%
5. 0 - 17.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by SV Elversberg

Goals scored by 1. FC Union Berlin

01234505.07.15.12.40.90.217.811.28.03.81.40.426.28.86.33.01.10.333.24.63.31.60.60.241.31.81.30.60.20.150.40.60.40.20.10.0

Next matches of 1. FC Union Berlin

24/10/2026 · GER.1AwayFC Augsburg

1/11/2026 · GER.1HomeFC Cologne

8/11/2026 · GER.1AwaySC Freiburg

Next matches of SV Elversberg

24/10/2026 · GER.1AwayRB Leipzig

30/10/2026 · GER.1HomeMainz

7/11/2026 · GER.1AwayBorussia Dortmund

Our model gives 1. FC Union Berlin win 41%, draw 25%, SV Elversberg win 34%. over 2.5 goals 58%. both teams to score 61%. expected goals 1.57 - 1.43. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.