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Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt, 2026-10-10, German Bundesliga, kickoff 19:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/GERMAN BUNDESLIGA/2026-10-10
stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•16:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.86

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MODEL OVER 2.5

74%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

68%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

15%28%40%53%65%11:2114:0016:30
1 RB LeipzigX2 Eintracht Frankfurt
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
RB Leipzig (1)59.7%58.9%1.70trending_down-0.8 pp
Draw (X)20.2%20.6%4.86trending_flat+0.4 pp
Eintracht Frankfurt (2)20.2%20.6%4.86trending_flat+0.4 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt

PROBABILITY

9.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.9Exp. cards 3.4
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
RB Leipzig
62%1.601.56
Draw
19%5.384.60
Eintracht Frankfurt
19%5.254.60
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
RB Leipzig or draw
81%1.24—
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
38%2.66—
Either team wins (no draw)
81%1.23—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
90%1.111.07
Under 1.5 goals
10%9.986.20
Over 2.5 goals
74%1.351.30
Under 2.5 goals
26%3.863.30
Over 3.5 goals
54%1.861.73
Under 3.5 goals
46%2.172.10
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
68%1.46—
Not both score (NG)
32%3.16—
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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
72%1.38—
Under 7.5 corners
28%3.63—
Over 8.5 corners
62%1.611.30
Under 8.5 corners
38%2.633.05
Over 9.5 corners
51%1.951.55
Under 9.5 corners
49%2.052.25
Over 10.5 corners
41%2.452.00
Under 10.5 corners
59%1.691.73
Over 11.5 corners
31%3.182.55
Under 11.5 corners
69%1.461.43
Over 12.5 corners
23%4.28—
Under 12.5 corners
77%1.31—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
84%1.18—
Under 1.5 cards
16%6.41—
Over 2.5 cards
66%1.521.53
Under 2.5 cards
34%2.922.25
Over 3.5 cards
45%2.242.30
Under 3.5 cards
55%1.811.55
Over 4.5 cards
27%3.76—
Under 4.5 cards
73%1.36—
Over 5.5 cards
14%7.03—
Under 5.5 cards
86%1.17—
Over 6.5 cards
7%13.87—
Under 6.5 cards
93%1.08—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER51%
add_circleRB Leipzig
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 1.84
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 10-9

WLLWL
LABayer Leverkusen0-2
WHHamburg SV5-0
LAComo1-4
LAWerder Bremen1-3
WHBorussia Mönchengladbach3-0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 13-10

DLWDW
WHTSV Eintracht Braunschweig4-0
DHSC Freiburg2-2
WAMainz3-1
LHFC Augsburg1-4
DA1. FC Union Berlin3-3

Head-to-head

2026-04-18
Eintracht Frankfurt1 - 3RB Leipzig
2025-12-06
RB Leipzig6 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
2025-04-26
Eintracht Frankfurt4 - 0RB Leipzig
2024-12-15
RB Leipzig2 - 1Eintracht Frankfurt
2024-12-04
RB Leipzig3 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
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Team comparison

#27 ▼3Power Index 69.2
Power Ranking
#64 ▼1Power Index 59.4
€515m4th in the league
Squad value
€288m7th in the league
Martín Demichelissince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.67 pts/game
Head coach
Adi Hüttersince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.57 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
62%Market 62%
Draw (X)
19%Market 19%
Away win (2)
19%Market 19%
Over 2.5 goals
74%Market 74%
Both teams to score
68%Market: —
Expected goals
2.5 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt (9.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 19.0%
  2. 3 - 17.5%
  3. 1 - 17.1%
  4. 2 - 06.6%
  5. 2 - 26.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals scored by RB Leipzig
01234502.12.91.90.90.30.115.37.14.82.20.70.226.69.06.12.70.90.335.57.55.12.30.80.243.54.73.21.40.50.151.72.41.60.70.20.1

Next matches of RB Leipzig

24/10/2026 · GER.1HomeSV Elversberg
31/10/2026 · GER.1AwaySchalke 04
7/11/2026 · GER.1HomeFC Augsburg

Next matches of Eintracht Frankfurt

24/10/2026 · GER.1AwayBorussia Dortmund
1/11/2026 · GER.1HomeHamburg SV
7/11/2026 · GER.1AwaySC Paderborn 07

More matches on this day

Our model gives RB Leipzig win 62%, draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt win 19%. over 2.5 goals 74%. both teams to score 68%. expected goals 2.51 - 1.35. largest gap to the market: RB Leipzig win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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