Lorient vs Paris FC prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Lorient vs Paris FC, 2026-10-10, French Ligue 1, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•18:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

--:--:--

HOME

Lorient

VS18:45 GMT

Paris FC

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.55

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

47%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

51%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 9.5 corners

MODEL PROBABILITY

62%

ODDS

1.55

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK62%

Under 9.5 corners

Expected corners: Lorient 4.2, Paris FC 4.5, total 8.7 (line 9.5).

Corners-for rate vs average: Lorient x0.79, Paris FC x0.88 (sample 25 and 20 equivalent matches).

Odds: 1.55

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Lorient 1 - 1 Paris FC

PROBABILITY

12.4%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.7Exp. cards 3.5

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lorient

28%3.623.65

Draw

27%3.723.40

Paris FC

46%2.202.10

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lorient or draw

54%1.84—

Paris FC or draw

72%1.38—

Either team wins (no draw)

73%1.37—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

73%1.381.30

Under 1.5 goals

27%3.663.25

Over 2.5 goals

47%2.131.95

Under 2.5 goals

53%1.881.85

Over 3.5 goals

25%3.953.10

Under 3.5 goals

75%1.341.32

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

51%1.95—

Not both score (NG)

49%2.05—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

60%1.661.35

Under 7.5 corners

40%2.522.80

Over 8.5 corners

49%2.051.75

Under 8.5 corners

51%1.961.95

Over 9.5 corners

38%2.632.25

Under 9.5 corners

62%1.611.55

Over 10.5 corners

28%3.523.05

Under 10.5 corners

72%1.401.30

Over 11.5 corners

20%4.88—

Under 11.5 corners

80%1.26—

Over 12.5 corners

14%7.01—

Under 12.5 corners

86%1.17—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

85%1.18—

Under 1.5 cards

15%6.65—

Over 2.5 cards

67%1.501.45

Under 2.5 cards

33%3.012.45

Over 3.5 cards

46%2.192.10

Under 3.5 cards

54%1.841.65

Over 4.5 cards

27%3.64—

Under 4.5 cards

73%1.38—

Over 5.5 cards

15%6.73—

Under 5.5 cards

85%1.17—

Over 6.5 cards

8%13.21—

Under 6.5 cards

92%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Lorient

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-7

LWDLW

WHNantes2-1

LALe Mans1-2

DHToulouse2-2

WALens1-0

LHTroyes1-2

Paris FC

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 9-5

WWDWL

LHRed Star FC 931-2

WHStrasbourg2-1

DHLyon0-0

WAMarseille3-2

WHNice3-0

Head-to-head

2026-04-05

Lorient1 - 1Paris FC

2026-02-04

Lorient2 - 0Paris FC

2025-10-03

Paris FC2 - 0Lorient

2025-03-08

Paris FC3 - 2Lorient

2024-12-14

Lorient2 - 0Paris FC

compare_arrows

Team comparison

Lorient

VS

Paris FC

#82 ▲1Power Index 55.5

Power Ranking

#93 ▼3Power Index 53.6

€99m12th in the league

Squad value

€192m8th in the league

Alexandre Dujeuxsince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.57 pts/game

Head coach

Liam Roseniorsince 7 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 2.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

28%Market 26%

Draw (X)

27%Market 28%

Away win (2)

46%Market 46%

Over 2.5 goals

47%Market 48%

Both teams to score

51%Market: —

Expected goals

1.1 - 1.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Lorient 1 - 1 Paris FC (12.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 112.4%
2. 0 - 111.4%
3. 1 - 29.1%
4. 1 - 08.5%
5. 0 - 28.4%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Paris FC

Goals scored by Lorient

01234507.811.48.44.11.50.418.512.49.14.41.60.524.66.74.92.40.90.331.72.41.80.90.30.140.50.70.50.20.10.050.10.10.10.10.00.0

Next matches of Lorient

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayAngers

31/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeBrest

8/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayLe Havre AC

Next matches of Paris FC

24/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayLens

1/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeAS Monaco

7/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayAJ Auxerre

Our model gives Lorient win 28%, draw 27%, Paris FC win 46%. over 2.5 goals 47%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 1.08 - 1.47. largest gap to the market: Lorient win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.