Brighton & Hove Albion vs Sunderland prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion, 2026-10-10, English Premier League, kickoff 17:00 Athens time

stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Sunderland

VS14:00 GMT

Brighton & Hove Albion

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.74

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

52%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 SunderlandX2 Brighton & Hove Albion

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Sunderland (1)	30.8%	31.4%	3.18	trending_up+0.6 pp
Draw (X)	27.7%	28.6%	3.49	trending_up+0.9 pp
Brighton & Hove Albion (2)	41.5%	40%	2.50	trending_down-1.6 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Sunderland 1 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion

PROBABILITY

12.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.3Exp. cards 4.1

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Sunderland

31%3.183.10

Draw

26%3.833.45

Brighton & Hove Albion

42%2.352.30

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Sunderland or draw

58%1.74—

Brighton & Hove Albion or draw

69%1.46—

Either team wins (no draw)

74%1.35—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

76%1.311.23

Under 1.5 goals

24%4.213.75

Over 2.5 goals

52%1.941.83

Under 2.5 goals

48%2.071.98

Over 3.5 goals

30%3.392.80

Under 3.5 goals

71%1.421.38

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

56%1.80—

Not both score (NG)

44%2.25—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

66%1.52—

Under 7.5 corners

34%2.94—

Over 8.5 corners

55%1.821.50

Under 8.5 corners

45%2.212.35

Over 9.5 corners

44%2.281.90

Under 9.5 corners

56%1.781.80

Over 10.5 corners

34%2.962.45

Under 10.5 corners

66%1.511.47

Over 11.5 corners

25%3.99—

Under 11.5 corners

75%1.33—

Over 12.5 corners

18%5.56—

Under 12.5 corners

82%1.22—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

90%1.11—

Under 1.5 cards

10%10.38—

Over 2.5 cards

77%1.30—

Under 2.5 cards

23%4.33—

Over 3.5 cards

59%1.711.65

Under 3.5 cards

41%2.412.10

Over 4.5 cards

40%2.532.45

Under 4.5 cards

60%1.661.45

Over 5.5 cards

24%4.16—

Under 5.5 cards

76%1.32—

Over 6.5 cards

13%7.47—

Under 6.5 cards

87%1.15—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Sunderland

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 6-8

DWLWL

LAManchester City3-5

WHAZ Alkmaar1-0

LHArsenal0-2

WHHull City1-0

DABrentford1-1

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 15-7

LDWWW

WHArsenal3-0

WAManchester United3-2

WACoventry City5-0

DHLeeds United1-1

LAChelsea3-4

Head-to-head

2026-03-14

Sunderland0 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion

2025-12-20

Brighton & Hove Albion0 - 0Sunderland

2011-08-23

Brighton & Hove Albion1 - 0Sunderland

2005-02-19

Brighton & Hove Albion2 - 1Sunderland

2004-10-30

Sunderland2 - 0Brighton & Hove Albion

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Team comparison

Sunderland

VS

Brighton & Hove Albion

#76 ▲2Power Index 56.9

Power Ranking

#8Power Index 80.4

€421m14th in the league

Squad value

€604m8th in the league

Régis Le Brissince 1 Jul 2024 · 103 games · 1.51 pts/game

Head coach

Fabian Hürzelersince 1 Jul 2024 · 99 games · 1.66 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

31%Market 31%

Draw (X)

26%Market 27%

Away win (2)

42%Market 42%

Over 2.5 goals

52%Market 52%

Both teams to score

56%Market: —

Expected goals

1.2 - 1.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Sunderland 1 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion (12.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 112.0%
2. 0 - 19.6%
3. 1 - 29.0%
4. 1 - 08.1%
5. 2 - 17.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Brighton & Hove Albion

Goals scored by Sunderland

01234506.59.67.23.61.30.418.112.09.04.51.70.525.07.55.62.81.00.332.13.12.31.20.40.140.71.00.70.40.10.050.20.20.20.10.00.0

Next matches of Sunderland

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeLeeds United

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayCoventry City

8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeChelsea

Next matches of Brighton & Hove Albion

25/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayLiverpool

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayManchester City

8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeBrentford

Our model gives Sunderland win 31%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion win 42%. over 2.5 goals 52%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 1.25 - 1.49. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.