Internazionale vs Parma prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Internazionale vs Parma, 2026-10-10, Italian Serie A, kickoff 19:00 Athens time

stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•16:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Internazionale

VS16:00 GMT

Parma

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.95

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

75%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

51%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 4.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

64%

ODDS

1.49

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 InternazionaleX2 Parma

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Internazionale (1)	82.3%	81.5%	1.23	trending_down-0.7 pp
Draw (X)	11.6%	12.3%	8.12	trending_up+0.8 pp
Parma (2)	6.2%	6.2%	16.23	trending_flat-0.0 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK64%

Under 4.5 goals

Our probability: 64%.

Indicative odds: 1.49

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Internazionale 3 - 0 Parma

PROBABILITY

10.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.2Exp. cards 3.3

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Internazionale

84%1.191.12

Draw

11%9.368.00

Parma

6%18.0715.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Internazionale or draw

94%1.06—

Parma or draw

16%6.17—

Either team wins (no draw)

89%1.12—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

91%1.10—

Under 1.5 goals

9%10.64—

Over 2.5 goals

75%1.33—

Under 2.5 goals

25%4.07—

Over 3.5 goals

56%1.80—

Under 3.5 goals

44%2.25—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

51%1.94—

Not both score (NG)

49%2.06—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

74%1.34—

Under 7.5 corners

26%3.92—

Over 8.5 corners

64%1.55—

Under 8.5 corners

36%2.81—

Over 9.5 corners

54%1.86—

Under 9.5 corners

46%2.16—

Over 10.5 corners

43%2.31—

Under 10.5 corners

57%1.77—

Over 11.5 corners

34%2.96—

Under 11.5 corners

66%1.51—

Over 12.5 corners

25%3.93—

Under 12.5 corners

75%1.34—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

83%1.20—

Under 1.5 cards

17%5.93—

Over 2.5 cards

64%1.57—

Under 2.5 cards

36%2.75—

Over 3.5 cards

42%2.37—

Under 3.5 cards

58%1.73—

Over 4.5 cards

25%4.07—

Under 4.5 cards

75%1.33—

Over 5.5 cards

13%7.77—

Under 5.5 cards

87%1.15—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Internazionale

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 13-9

WLWDW

WHLumezzane2-0

DAAS Roma2-2

WHUdinese5-3

LAReal Madrid1-2

WHNapoli3-2

Parma

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 5-7

LDLWD

DHVirtus Entella1-1

WHGenoa2-1

LAComo1-2

DHMonza1-1

LHCremonese0-2

Head-to-head

2026-05-03

Internazionale2 - 0Parma

2026-01-07

Parma0 - 2Internazionale

2025-04-05

Parma2 - 2Internazionale

2024-12-06

Internazionale3 - 1Parma

2023-01-10

Internazionale2 - 1Parma

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Team comparison

Internazionale

VS

Parma

#12 ▼2Power Index 78.6

Power Ranking

#159 ▲2Power Index 44.1

€738m1st in the league

Squad value

€156m15th in the league

Cristian Chivusince 9 Jun 2025 · 67 games · 2.10 pts/game

Head coach

Alberto Gilardino NEWsince 29 Sep 2026 · 1 games · 0.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

84%Market 87% -3

Draw (X)

11%Market 9%

Away win (2)

6%Market 4%

Over 2.5 goals

75%Market: —

Both teams to score

51%Market: —

Expected goals

3.2 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Internazionale 3 - 0 Parma (10.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 3 - 010.4%
2. 2 - 09.8%
3. 4 - 08.2%
4. 3 - 17.9%
5. 2 - 17.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Parma

Goals scored by Internazionale

01234501.91.50.60.10.00.016.14.71.80.50.10.029.87.52.90.70.10.0310.47.93.00.80.10.048.26.32.40.60.10.055.24.01.50.40.10.0

Next matches of Internazionale

25/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeFiorentina

28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayVenezia

31/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayAC Milan

Next matches of Parma

24/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayLazio

28/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeUdinese

2/11/2026 · ITA.1AwayAtalanta

Our model gives Internazionale win 84%, draw 11%, Parma win 6%. over 2.5 goals 75%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 3.18 - 0.77. largest gap to the market: Internazionale win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.