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Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam, 2026-10-10, Dutch Eredivisie, kickoff 17:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/DUTCH EREDIVISIE/2026-10-10
stadiumDUTCH EREDIVISIE•14:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.52

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MODEL OVER 2.5

68%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

65%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Both teams to score (GG)

MODEL PROBABILITY

65%

ODDS

1.45

All Tips
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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

15%28%40%53%65%11:2214:00
1 Go Ahead EaglesX2 Sparta Rotterdam
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Go Ahead Eagles (1)56.6%58.3%1.72trending_up+1.6 pp
Draw (X)22%22%4.54trending_flat+0.1 pp
Sparta Rotterdam (2)21.5%19.7%5.07trending_down-1.7 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK65%

Both teams to score (GG)

Our probability: 65%.

Indicative odds: 1.45
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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam

PROBABILITY

9.5%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 11.4Exp. cards 2.9
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Go Ahead Eagles
57%1.761.67
Draw
21%4.804.30
Sparta Rotterdam
22%4.474.40
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Go Ahead Eagles or draw
78%1.29—
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
43%2.32—
Either team wins (no draw)
79%1.26—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
87%1.151.10
Under 1.5 goals
13%7.605.50
Over 2.5 goals
68%1.471.35
Under 2.5 goals
32%3.152.90
Over 3.5 goals
47%2.141.87
Under 3.5 goals
53%1.881.88
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
65%1.53—
Not both score (NG)
35%2.90—
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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
83%1.211.14
Under 7.5 corners
17%5.875.50
Over 8.5 corners
75%1.341.28
Under 8.5 corners
25%3.963.50
Over 9.5 corners
65%1.531.50
Under 9.5 corners
35%2.892.50
Over 10.5 corners
55%1.811.80
Under 10.5 corners
45%2.241.90
Over 11.5 corners
45%2.202.20
Under 11.5 corners
55%1.831.61
Over 12.5 corners
36%2.773.00
Under 12.5 corners
64%1.561.36
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
77%1.30—
Under 1.5 cards
23%4.39—
Over 2.5 cards
55%1.831.60
Under 2.5 cards
45%2.202.20
Over 3.5 cards
33%3.042.35
Under 3.5 cards
67%1.491.50
Over 4.5 cards
17%5.77—
Under 4.5 cards
83%1.21—
Over 5.5 cards
8%11.88—
Under 5.5 cards
92%1.09—
Over 6.5 cards
7%14.29—
Under 6.5 cards
93%1.08—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER43%
add_circleGo Ahead Eagles
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.01
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Go Ahead Eagles

Go Ahead Eagles

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · goals 10-11

WLDDD
DANEC Nijmegen1-1
DHFC Groningen1-1
DAFC Utrecht3-3
LAAZ Alkmaar2-5
WHADO Den Haag3-1
Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 7-15

DLDLL
LHHeerenveen0-4
LAPSV Eindhoven1-4
DHPEC Zwolle2-2
LAExcelsior1-2
DHFC Utrecht3-3

Head-to-head

2026-05-03
Sparta Rotterdam2 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
2025-08-23
Go Ahead Eagles0 - 3Sparta Rotterdam
2025-02-14
Go Ahead Eagles1 - 0Sparta Rotterdam
2024-12-18
Sparta Rotterdam1 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
2024-09-15
Sparta Rotterdam1 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
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Team comparison

#156 ▼6Power Index 44.5
Power Ranking
#194 ▼5Power Index 39.0
€25m12th in the league
Squad value
€32m10th in the league
Joseph Oostingsince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.22 pts/game
Head coach
Rogier Meijersince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
57%Market 58%
Draw (X)
21%Market 21%
Away win (2)
22%Market 21%
Over 2.5 goals
68%Market 71% -3
Both teams to score
65%Market: —
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam (9.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 19.5%
  2. 1 - 18.6%
  3. 2 - 07.1%
  4. 3 - 16.9%
  5. 1 - 06.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Sparta Rotterdam
Goals scored by Go Ahead Eagles
01234503.03.92.61.20.40.116.58.65.72.50.80.227.19.56.32.80.90.235.26.94.62.00.70.242.83.82.51.10.40.151.21.71.10.50.20.0

Next matches of Go Ahead Eagles

23/10/2026 · NED.1HomeTelstar
31/10/2026 · NED.1AwaySC Cambuur
7/11/2026 · NED.1AwayExcelsior

Next matches of Sparta Rotterdam

25/10/2026 · NED.1HomeAjax Amsterdam
1/11/2026 · NED.1AwayFC Groningen
7/11/2026 · NED.1AwayADO Den Haag

More matches on this day

Our model gives Go Ahead Eagles win 57%, draw 21%, Sparta Rotterdam win 22%. over 2.5 goals 68%. both teams to score 65%. expected goals 2.19 - 1.33. largest gap to the market: Sparta Rotterdam win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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