Le Havre AC vs Lille prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Lille vs Le Havre AC, 2026-10-10, French Ligue 1, kickoff 18:15 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•15:15 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Lille

VS15:15 GMT

Le Havre AC

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.99

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

57%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

52%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

65%

ODDS

1.52

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 LilleX2 Le Havre AC

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Lille (1)	64.9%	65.1%	1.54	trending_flat+0.2 pp
Draw (X)	20.4%	20.3%	4.93	trending_flat-0.1 pp
Le Havre AC (2)	14.7%	14.7%	6.82	trending_flat-0.1 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK65%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 65%.

Odds: 1.52

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Lille 2 - 0 Le Havre AC

PROBABILITY

11.3%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.4Exp. cards 3.8

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lille

66%1.521.48

Draw

20%4.964.70

Le Havre AC

14%7.096.50

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lille or draw

86%1.16—

Le Havre AC or draw

34%2.92—

Either team wins (no draw)

80%1.25—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

80%1.251.17

Under 1.5 goals

20%5.064.20

Over 2.5 goals

57%1.741.65

Under 2.5 goals

43%2.352.25

Over 3.5 goals

35%2.852.45

Under 3.5 goals

65%1.541.52

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

52%1.94—

Not both score (NG)

48%2.06—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

67%1.49—

Under 7.5 corners

33%3.06—

Over 8.5 corners

56%1.781.47

Under 8.5 corners

44%2.292.40

Over 9.5 corners

45%2.211.87

Under 9.5 corners

55%1.831.83

Over 10.5 corners

35%2.852.40

Under 10.5 corners

65%1.541.50

Over 11.5 corners

26%3.813.20

Under 11.5 corners

74%1.361.28

Over 12.5 corners

19%5.27—

Under 12.5 corners

81%1.23—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

88%1.13—

Under 1.5 cards

12%8.54—

Over 2.5 cards

73%1.371.35

Under 2.5 cards

27%3.682.85

Over 3.5 cards

53%1.881.85

Under 3.5 cards

47%2.131.85

Over 4.5 cards

34%2.92—

Under 4.5 cards

66%1.52—

Over 5.5 cards

20%5.06—

Under 5.5 cards

80%1.25—

Over 6.5 cards

11%9.48—

Under 6.5 cards

89%1.12—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER44%

add_circleLille

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.09

BUILDER39%

add_circleLille

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.24

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Lille

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 8-6

WLWLW

WHZulte-Waregem2-1

LANice1-2

WHTroyes2-0

LHReal Betis2-3

WAToulouse1-0

Le Havre AC

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 10-7

DLDLW

WHBoulogne6-1

LAToulouse2-3

DHAngers0-0

LHBrest1-2

DALyon1-1

Head-to-head

2026-05-03

Lille1 - 1Le Havre AC

2025-11-30

Le Havre AC0 - 1Lille

2025-02-08

Lille1 - 2Le Havre AC

2024-09-28

Le Havre AC0 - 3Lille

2024-02-17

Lille3 - 0Le Havre AC

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Team comparison

Lille

VS

Le Havre AC

#47 ▼3Power Index 64.6

Power Ranking

#163 ▼8Power Index 43.7

€253m6th in the league

Squad value

€62m16th in the league

Davide Ancelottisince 8 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.56 pts/game

Head coach

Didier Digardsince 1 Jul 2024 · 77 games · 0.92 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

66%Market 66%

Draw (X)

20%Market 20%

Away win (2)

14%Market 14%

Over 2.5 goals

57%Market 59%

Both teams to score

52%Market: —

Expected goals

2.1 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Lille 2 - 0 Le Havre AC (11.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 011.3%
2. 1 - 010.6%
3. 2 - 19.8%
4. 1 - 19.3%
5. 3 - 08.0%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Le Havre AC

Goals scored by Lille

01234505.04.41.90.60.10.0110.69.34.11.20.30.0211.39.84.31.30.30.038.06.93.00.90.20.044.23.71.60.50.10.051.81.60.70.20.00.0

Next matches of Lille

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayAS Monaco

30/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLens

8/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayStade Rennais

Next matches of Le Havre AC

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayMarseille

30/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeParis Saint-Germain

8/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeLorient

Our model gives Lille win 66%, draw 20%, Le Havre AC win 14%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 52%. expected goals 2.12 - 0.87. largest gap to the market: Lille win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.