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Juventus vs Lazio prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Juventus vs Lazio, 2026-10-18, Italian Serie A, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/ITALIAN SERIE A/2026-10-18
stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•18:45 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS18:45 GMT
LazioAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.62

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

49%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

48%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 10.5 corners

MODEL PROBABILITY

64%

ODDS

1.52

All Tips
query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

10%24%38%51%65%05:0009:0011:30
1 JuventusX2 Lazio
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Juventus (1)56.9%58.9%1.70trending_up+2.0 pp
Draw (X)24.6%24.3%4.11trending_flat-0.3 pp
Lazio (2)18.5%16.8%5.95trending_down-1.7 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK64%

Under 10.5 corners

Expected corners: Juventus 6.3, Lazio 3.1, total 9.4 (line 10.5).

Corners-for rate vs average: Juventus x1.19, Lazio x0.89 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).

Odds: 1.52
scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Juventus 1 - 0 Lazio

PROBABILITY

12.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.5Exp. cards 4.0
swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Juventus
59%1.681.62
Draw
24%4.233.75
Lazio
17%5.875.00
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Juventus or draw
83%1.21—
Lazio or draw
41%2.46—
Either team wins (no draw)
76%1.31—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
74%1.351.27
Under 1.5 goals
26%3.853.45
Over 2.5 goals
49%2.051.92
Under 2.5 goals
51%1.951.88
Over 3.5 goals
27%3.723.00
Under 3.5 goals
73%1.371.35
sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
48%2.10—
Not both score (NG)
52%1.91—
flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
68%1.47—
Under 7.5 corners
32%3.12—
Over 8.5 corners
57%1.751.42
Under 8.5 corners
43%2.332.55
Over 9.5 corners
46%2.171.82
Under 9.5 corners
54%1.851.88
Over 10.5 corners
36%2.792.30
Under 10.5 corners
64%1.561.52
Over 11.5 corners
27%3.723.10
Under 11.5 corners
73%1.371.30
Over 12.5 corners
19%5.13—
Under 12.5 corners
81%1.24—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
89%1.12—
Under 1.5 cards
11%9.42—
Over 2.5 cards
75%1.33—
Under 2.5 cards
25%3.99—
Over 3.5 cards
56%1.791.30
Under 3.5 cards
44%2.263.10
Over 4.5 cards
37%2.711.73
Under 4.5 cards
63%1.582.00
Over 5.5 cards
22%4.58—
Under 5.5 cards
78%1.28—
Over 6.5 cards
12%8.39—
Under 6.5 cards
88%1.14—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER47%
add_circleJuventus
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 1.94
BUILDER41%
add_circleJuventus
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.19
BUILDER35%
add_circleJuventus
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.56
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Juventus

Juventus

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 10-3

WWLDW
WACelta Vigo2-1
DACagliari1-1
LHCremonese0-1
WHAtalanta2-0
WHNEC Nijmegen5-0
Lazio

Lazio

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 12-6

DWWDW
WHMonza3-1
DHJuve Stabia3-3
WHArezzo2-0
WAVenezia2-0
DHAC Milan2-2

Head-to-head

2026-02-08
Juventus2 - 2Lazio
2025-10-26
Lazio1 - 0Juventus
2025-05-10
Lazio1 - 1Juventus
2024-10-19
Juventus1 - 0Lazio
2024-04-23
Lazio2 - 1Juventus
compare_arrows

Team comparison

#33 ▼4Power Index 68.2
Power Ranking
#57 ▲5Power Index 61.1
€614m2nd in the league
Squad value
€262m9th in the league
Luciano Spallettisince 30 Oct 2025 · 47 games · 1.87 pts/game
Head coach
Gennaro Gattusosince 23 Jun 2026 · 8 games · 2.38 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
59%Market 59%
Draw (X)
24%Market 24%
Away win (2)
17%Market 17%
Over 2.5 goals
49%Market 49%
Both teams to score
48%Market: —
Expected goals
1.8 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Juventus 1 - 0 Lazio (12.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 012.9%
  2. 2 - 011.5%
  3. 1 - 110.9%
  4. 2 - 19.7%
  5. 0 - 07.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Lazio
Goals scored by Juventus
01234507.36.12.60.70.20.0112.910.94.61.30.30.0211.59.74.11.10.20.036.85.82.40.70.10.043.12.61.10.30.10.051.10.90.40.10.00.0

Next matches of Juventus

25/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayLecce
28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayGenoa
1/11/2026 · ITA.1HomeNapoli

Next matches of Lazio

24/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeParma
27/10/2026 · ITA.1AwaySassuolo
1/11/2026 · ITA.1HomeCagliari

More matches on this day

Our model gives Juventus win 59%, draw 24%, Lazio win 17%. over 2.5 goals 49%. both teams to score 48%. expected goals 1.78 - 0.84. largest gap to the market: Juventus win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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