Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard, 2026-10-18, Dutch Eredivisie, kickoff 21:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.49
MODEL OVER 2.5
68%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
64%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
Over 2.5 goals
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen (1) | 57.2% | 54.4% | 1.84 | trending_down-2.8 pp |
| Draw (X) | 21.9% | 23.1% | 4.33 | trending_up+1.2 pp |
| Fortuna Sittard (2) | 20.9% | 22.5% | 4.44 | trending_up+1.6 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Over 2.5 goals
Our probability: 68%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
NEC Nijmegen 2 - 1 Fortuna Sittard
9.6%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
NEC Nijmegen
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · goals 3-11
Levski Sofia1-1
Ajax Amsterdam1-1
Go Ahead Eagles1-1
Juventus0-5
SC Cambuur0-3
Fortuna Sittard
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 8-9
FC Twente1-1
Racing Genk2-1
Willem II1-0Ajax Amsterdam1-5
ADO Den Haag3-2Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: NEC Nijmegen 2 - 1 Fortuna Sittard (9.6%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 19.6%
- 1 - 18.6%
- 2 - 07.6%
- 3 - 17.1%
- 1 - 06.8%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Fortuna SittardNext matches of NEC Nijmegen
FC Groningen
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Our model gives NEC Nijmegen win 59%, draw 20%, Fortuna Sittard win 21%. over 2.5 goals 68%. both teams to score 64%. expected goals 2.23 - 1.26. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.