Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace, 2026-10-18, English Premier League, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•13:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Brighton & Hove Albion

VS13:00 GMT

Crystal Palace

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.22

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

63%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

57%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 Brighton & Hove AlbionX2 Crystal Palace

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Brighton & Hove Albion (1)	63.7%	65.7%	1.52	trending_up+1.9 pp
Draw (X)	20.3%	19.8%	5.06	trending_down-0.6 pp
Crystal Palace (2)	15.9%	14.6%	6.85	trending_down-1.3 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Brighton & Hove Albion 2 - 1 Crystal Palace

PROBABILITY

9.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.7Exp. cards 3.7

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Brighton & Hove Albion

64%1.551.47

Draw

20%5.054.75

Crystal Palace

16%6.356.25

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Brighton & Hove Albion or draw

84%1.191.12

Crystal Palace or draw

36%2.812.65

Either team wins (no draw)

80%1.251.19

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

83%1.201.17

Under 1.5 goals

17%6.055.35

Over 2.5 goals

63%1.601.55

Under 2.5 goals

37%2.672.45

Over 3.5 goals

40%2.482.37

Under 3.5 goals

60%1.671.58

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

57%1.761.65

Not both score (NG)

43%2.322.25

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

71%1.411.28

Under 7.5 corners

29%3.413.55

Over 8.5 corners

60%1.671.48

Under 8.5 corners

40%2.502.55

Over 9.5 corners

49%2.031.81

Under 9.5 corners

51%1.971.97

Over 10.5 corners

39%2.582.30

Under 10.5 corners

61%1.631.60

Over 11.5 corners

30%3.383.00

Under 11.5 corners

70%1.421.37

Over 12.5 corners

22%4.604.15

Under 12.5 corners

78%1.281.22

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

87%1.15—

Under 1.5 cards

13%7.73—

Over 2.5 cards

71%1.42—

Under 2.5 cards

30%3.39—

Over 3.5 cards

50%1.991.67

Under 3.5 cards

50%2.012.07

Over 4.5 cards

31%3.182.50

Under 4.5 cards

69%1.461.45

Over 5.5 cards

18%5.64—

Under 5.5 cards

82%1.22—

Over 6.5 cards

9%10.78—

Under 6.5 cards

91%1.10—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER48%

add_circleBrighton & Hove Albion or draw

add_circleBoth score (GG)

Indicative odds: 1.85

BUILDER48%

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

add_circleBoth score (GG)

Indicative odds: 1.91

BUILDER46%

add_circleEither team wins (no draw)

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.88

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · goals 17-2

WWWWW

WHKauno Zalgiris4-0

WASunderland2-0

WHArsenal3-0

WAManchester United3-2

WACoventry City5-0

Crystal Palace

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-6

WDLWL

LALyon2-3

WHNottingham Forest3-1

LHBristol City0-2

DALeeds United0-0

WHLech Poznan4-0

Head-to-head

2026-02-08

Brighton & Hove Albion0 - 1Crystal Palace

2025-11-09

Crystal Palace0 - 0Brighton & Hove Albion

2025-04-05

Crystal Palace2 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion

2024-12-15

Brighton & Hove Albion1 - 3Crystal Palace

2024-02-03

Brighton & Hove Albion4 - 1Crystal Palace

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Team comparison

Brighton & Hove Albion

VS

Crystal Palace

#8Power Index 80.4

Power Ranking

#28 ▼3Power Index 69.1

€604m8th in the league

Squad value

€579m10th in the league

Fabian Hürzelersince 1 Jul 2024 · 99 games · 1.66 pts/game

Head coach

Pierre Sagesince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 1.30 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

64%Market 65%

Draw (X)

20%Market 20%

Away win (2)

16%Market 15%

Over 2.5 goals

63%Market 62%

Both teams to score

57%Market: —

Expected goals

2.2 - 1.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Brighton & Hove Albion 2 - 1 Crystal Palace (9.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 19.8%
2. 2 - 09.8%
3. 1 - 18.9%
4. 1 - 08.8%
5. 3 - 17.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Crystal Palace

Goals scored by Brighton & Hove Albion

01234504.04.02.00.70.20.018.88.94.51.50.40.129.89.85.01.70.40.137.27.33.71.20.30.144.04.02.00.70.20.051.81.80.90.30.10.0

Next matches of Brighton & Hove Albion

25/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayLiverpool

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayManchester City

8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeBrentford

Next matches of Crystal Palace

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeNewcastle United

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayTottenham Hotspur

8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeLiverpool

Our model gives Brighton & Hove Albion win 64%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace win 16%. over 2.5 goals 63%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 2.22 - 1.01. largest gap to the market: Brighton & Hove Albion win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.