Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, 2026-10-18, German Bundesliga, kickoff 16:30 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.42
MODEL OVER 2.5
66%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
63%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
2
Over 2.5 κίτρινες cards
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen (1) | 57.2% | 58.3% | 1.71 | trending_up+1.1 pp |
| Draw (X) | 21.6% | 21.5% | 4.64 | trending_flat-0.1 pp |
| SC Freiburg (2) | 21.1% | 20.1% | 4.97 | trending_down-1.0 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Over 2.5 κίτρινες cards
Our probability: 72%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg
9.7%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Bayer Leverkusen
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 14-5
Lech Poznan4-0
Mainz4-3
RB Leipzig2-0
NK Celje2-0
FC Augsburg2-2
SC Freiburg
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 16-7
Jablonec3-2
Schalke 042-1
FC Luzern4-2
Eintracht Frankfurt2-2
Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg (9.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 19.7%
- 1 - 18.8%
- 2 - 08.0%
- 1 - 07.2%
- 3 - 17.1%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by SC FreiburgNext matches of Bayer Leverkusen
TSG Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart
FC CologneNext matches of SC Freiburg
Bayern MunichFC Augsburg
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Our model gives Bayer Leverkusen win 60%, draw 20%, SC Freiburg win 20%. over 2.5 goals 66%. both teams to score 63%. expected goals 2.21 - 1.21. largest gap to the market: Bayer Leverkusen win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.