Leeds United vs Manchester United prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Leeds United vs Manchester United, 2026-10-18, English Premier League, kickoff 16:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.95
MODEL OVER 2.5
57%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
60%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
1X (Leeds United or draw)
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United (1) | 40.6% | 37.3% | 2.68 | trending_down-3.3 pp |
| Draw (X) | 26.5% | 27.5% | 3.63 | trending_up+1.0 pp |
| Manchester United (2) | 32.9% | 35.2% | 2.84 | trending_up+2.3 pp |
Algorithmic Value
1X (Leeds United or draw)
Our probability: 66%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Leeds United 1 - 1 Manchester United
11.4%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Leeds United
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 9-10
Arsenal1-2
Crystal Palace0-0
Newcastle United4-1
Chelsea3-6
Brighton & Hove Albion1-1
Manchester United
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · goals 4-8
Atlético Madrid0-2
Tottenham Hotspur1-1
Fulham1-1Brighton & Hove Albion2-3
Manchester City0-1Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Leeds United 1 - 1 Manchester United (11.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 111.4%
- 2 - 18.8%
- 1 - 08.1%
- 1 - 27.9%
- 0 - 17.3%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Manchester UnitedNext matches of Leeds United
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Our model gives Leeds United win 41%, draw 25%, Manchester United win 34%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 60%. expected goals 1.55 - 1.40. largest gap to the market: Manchester United win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.