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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim, 2026-10-18, German Bundesliga, kickoff 18:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/GERMAN BUNDESLIGA/2026-10-18
stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•15:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.53

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MODEL OVER 2.5

69%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

69%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Both teams to score (GG)

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.40

All Tips
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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK68%

Both teams to score (GG)

Our probability: 68%.

Indicative odds: 1.40
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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim

PROBABILITY

9.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Borussia Mönchengladbach
32%3.152.95
Draw
22%4.473.85
TSG Hoffenheim
46%2.182.05
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
54%1.85—
TSG Hoffenheim or draw
68%1.47—
Either team wins (no draw)
78%1.29—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
87%1.151.11
Under 1.5 goals
13%7.725.20
Over 2.5 goals
69%1.461.38
Under 2.5 goals
31%3.182.80
Over 3.5 goals
47%2.121.95
Under 3.5 goals
53%1.891.85
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
69%1.46—
Not both score (NG)
31%3.18—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER40%
add_circleTSG Hoffenheim
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.24
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 8-12

LLWDL
LAFC Cologne1-2
DASt. Pauli1-1
WASportfreunde Siegen3-0
LHMainz3-4
LASC Freiburg0-5
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · goals 7-14

LLLLL
LHBesiktas2-3
LHHamburg SV2-3
LHSV Elversberg2-3
LASC Paderborn 071-3
LAOFI Crete0-2

Head-to-head

2026-05-16
Borussia Mönchengladbach4 - 0TSG Hoffenheim
2026-01-14
TSG Hoffenheim5 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
2025-05-03
Borussia Mönchengladbach4 - 4TSG Hoffenheim
2024-12-21
TSG Hoffenheim1 - 2Borussia Mönchengladbach
2024-04-20
TSG Hoffenheim4 - 3Borussia Mönchengladbach
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Team comparison

#107 ▼1Power Index 51.6
Power Ranking
#78 ▼3Power Index 56.7
€135m13th in the league
Squad value
€288m6th in the league
Alexander Blessin NEWsince 22 Sep 2026 · 2 games · 0.00 pts/game
Head coach
Christian Ilzersince 15 Nov 2024 · 74 games · 1.35 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
32%Market 31%
Draw (X)
22%Market 23%
Away win (2)
46%Market 46%
Over 2.5 goals
69%Market 69%
Both teams to score
69%Market: —
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 1 TSG Hoffenheim (9.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 19.0%
  2. 1 - 28.8%
  3. 2 - 17.2%
  4. 2 - 27.0%
  5. 1 - 35.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by TSG Hoffenheim
Goals scored by Borussia Mönchengladbach
01234502.95.75.53.61.70.714.69.08.85.72.71.123.77.27.04.52.20.832.03.83.72.41.20.540.81.51.51.00.50.250.30.50.50.30.10.1

Next matches of Borussia Mönchengladbach

23/10/2026 · GER.1AwayVfB Stuttgart
31/10/2026 · GER.1HomeSC Paderborn 07
6/11/2026 · GER.1AwayHamburg SV

Next matches of TSG Hoffenheim

25/10/2026 · GER.1HomeBayer Leverkusen
31/10/2026 · GER.1AwayWerder Bremen
8/11/2026 · GER.1HomeSchalke 04

More matches on this day

Our model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach win 32%, draw 22%, TSG Hoffenheim win 46%. over 2.5 goals 69%. both teams to score 69%. expected goals 1.59 - 1.94. largest gap to the market: Borussia Mönchengladbach win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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