Asteras Tripoli vs Panathinaikos prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli, 2026-10-18, Greek Super League, kickoff 17:30 Athens time

stadiumGREEK SUPER LEAGUE•14:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Panathinaikos

VS14:30 GMT

Asteras Tripoli

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.96

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

57%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

35%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.42

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 PanathinaikosX2 Asteras Tripoli

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Panathinaikos (1)	78.3%	77.7%	1.29	trending_down-0.6 pp
Draw (X)	14.5%	14.5%	6.91	trending_flat+0.0 pp
Asteras Tripoli (2)	7.2%	7.8%	12.76	trending_up+0.6 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.42

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Panathinaikos 2 - 0 Asteras Tripoli

PROBABILITY

15.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.3Exp. cards 5.0

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Panathinaikos

81%1.231.20

Draw

14%7.226.50

Asteras Tripoli

5%19.3913.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Panathinaikos or draw

95%1.05—

Asteras Tripoli or draw

19%5.26—

Either team wins (no draw)

86%1.16—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

80%1.25—

Under 1.5 goals

20%4.93—

Over 2.5 goals

57%1.761.65

Under 2.5 goals

43%2.322.15

Over 3.5 goals

34%2.90—

Under 3.5 goals

66%1.53—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

35%2.84—

Not both score (NG)

65%1.54—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

66%1.51—

Under 7.5 corners

34%2.97—

Over 8.5 corners

55%1.81—

Under 8.5 corners

45%2.23—

Over 9.5 corners

44%2.26—

Under 9.5 corners

56%1.79—

Over 10.5 corners

34%2.93—

Under 10.5 corners

66%1.52—

Over 11.5 corners

25%3.94—

Under 11.5 corners

75%1.34—

Over 12.5 corners

18%5.48—

Under 12.5 corners

82%1.22—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

93%1.08—

Under 1.5 cards

7%14.29—

Over 2.5 cards

86%1.16—

Under 2.5 cards

14%7.26—

Over 3.5 cards

72%1.38—

Under 3.5 cards

28%3.63—

Over 4.5 cards

55%1.81—

Under 4.5 cards

45%2.24—

Over 5.5 cards

38%2.61—

Under 5.5 cards

62%1.62—

Over 6.5 cards

24%4.12—

Under 6.5 cards

76%1.32—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Panathinaikos

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 9-3

WWWLW

WHBorac Banja Luka2-1

LAOlympiacos0-1

WAKalamata1-0

WHPanetolikos3-0

WHKifisia3-1

Asteras Tripoli

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 5-7

LLDDW

WHAtromitos2-1

DAOFI Crete2-2

DHAEK Athens1-1

LHIraklis0-2

LHOlympiacos0-1

Head-to-head

2026-03-22

Asteras Tripoli1 - 2Panathinaikos

2025-10-26

Panathinaikos2 - 0Asteras Tripoli

2024-12-08

Asteras Tripoli0 - 1Panathinaikos

2024-08-18

Panathinaikos0 - 1Asteras Tripoli

2024-01-21

Panathinaikos2 - 0Asteras Tripoli

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Team comparison

Panathinaikos

VS

Asteras Tripoli

#110 ▲2Power Index 51.2

Power Ranking

#250 ▼1Power Index 23.7

€126m2nd in the league

Squad value

€13m11th in the league

Jacob Neestrupsince 1 Jul 2026 · 16 games · 2.44 pts/game

Head coach

Georgios Antonopoulossince 3 Mar 2026 · 23 games · 1.39 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

81%Market 82%

Draw (X)

14%Market 13%

Away win (2)

5%Market 6%

Over 2.5 goals

57%Market 57%

Both teams to score

35%Market: —

Expected goals

2.5 - 0.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Panathinaikos 2 - 0 Asteras Tripoli (15.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 015.9%
2. 3 - 013.1%
3. 1 - 012.8%
4. 4 - 08.1%
5. 2 - 17.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Asteras Tripoli

Goals scored by Panathinaikos

01234505.22.50.60.10.00.0112.86.21.50.20.00.0215.97.71.90.30.00.0313.16.31.50.20.00.048.13.90.90.20.00.054.02.00.50.10.00.0

Next matches of Panathinaikos

22/10/2026 · UEFA.EUROPA.CONFAwayKairat Almaty

25/10/2026 · GRE.1AwayVolos NFC

28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPHomeAris

Next matches of Asteras Tripoli

24/10/2026 · GRE.1HomeLevadiakos

27/10/2026 · GRE.CUPHomeKifisia

1/11/2026 · GRE.1AwayPAOK

Our model gives Panathinaikos win 81%, draw 14%, Asteras Tripoli win 5%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 35%. expected goals 2.48 - 0.48. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.