FC Twente vs FC Utrecht prediction, tips and odds
Next scheduled meeting: FC Utrecht vs FC Twente, 17/1/2027, ned.1. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.59
MODEL OVER 2.5
70%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
59%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
2
Under 4.5 goals
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente (1) | 69.4% | 70.2% | 1.42 | trending_up+0.8 pp |
| Draw (X) | 17.1% | 17.2% | 5.82 | trending_flat+0.0 pp |
| FC Utrecht (2) | 13.5% | 12.6% | 7.94 | trending_down-0.9 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 4.5 goals
Our probability: 70%.
Under 11.5 corners
Expected corners: FC Twente 6.9, FC Utrecht 3.4, total 10.4 (line 11.5).
Corners-for rate vs average: FC Twente x1.14, FC Utrecht x0.94 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
FC Twente 2 - 1 FC Utrecht
9.3%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
FC Twente
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 8-3
FC Thun1-0
Fortuna Sittard1-1
PSV Eindhoven3-2
ADO Den Haag2-0
Telstar1-0
FC Utrecht
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-16
Willem II3-1
Feyenoord Rotterdam0-5
Excelsior2-1
Go Ahead Eagles3-3PSV Eindhoven1-6Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: FC Twente 2 - 1 FC Utrecht (9.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 19.3%
- 2 - 09.1%
- 3 - 18.0%
- 3 - 07.8%
- 1 - 17.3%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by FC UtrechtNext matches of FC Twente
AZ AlkmaarExcelsior
Ajax AmsterdamNext matches of FC Utrecht
PEC ZwolleTelstar
NEC NijmegenMore matches on this day
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Our model gives FC Twente win 70%, draw 17%, FC Utrecht win 13%. over 2.5 goals 70%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 2.56 - 1.03. largest gap to the market: FC Twente win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.