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AJ Auxerre vs Le Havre AC prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre, 2026-10-18, French Ligue 1, kickoff 18:15 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/FRENCH LIGUE 1/2026-10-18
stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•15:15 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS15:15 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.67

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MODEL OVER 2.5

50%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

54%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

20%26%33%39%45%05:0011:3014:00
1 Le Havre ACX2 AJ Auxerre
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Le Havre AC (1)41.6%41.7%2.40trending_flat+0.1 pp
Draw (X)28.1%27.4%3.65trending_down-0.7 pp
AJ Auxerre (2)30.3%30.9%3.23trending_up+0.6 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Le Havre AC 1 - 1 AJ Auxerre

PROBABILITY

12.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.7Exp. cards 3.8
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Le Havre AC
42%2.372.30
Draw
26%3.783.40
AJ Auxerre
31%3.203.15
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Le Havre AC or draw
69%1.45—
AJ Auxerre or draw
58%1.73—
Either team wins (no draw)
74%1.36—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
75%1.331.23
Under 1.5 goals
25%4.003.70
Over 2.5 goals
50%2.001.87
Under 2.5 goals
50%2.001.95
Over 3.5 goals
28%3.572.85
Under 3.5 goals
72%1.391.35
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
54%1.84—
Not both score (NG)
46%2.19—
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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
70%1.42—
Under 7.5 corners
30%3.37—
Over 8.5 corners
60%1.681.40
Under 8.5 corners
40%2.482.70
Over 9.5 corners
49%2.051.70
Under 9.5 corners
51%1.952.02
Over 10.5 corners
38%2.612.20
Under 10.5 corners
62%1.621.60
Over 11.5 corners
29%3.432.80
Under 11.5 corners
71%1.411.35
Over 12.5 corners
21%4.67—
Under 12.5 corners
79%1.27—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
88%1.13—
Under 1.5 cards
12%8.47—
Over 2.5 cards
73%1.381.38
Under 2.5 cards
27%3.652.75
Over 3.5 cards
53%1.891.92
Under 3.5 cards
47%2.121.78
Over 4.5 cards
34%2.94—
Under 4.5 cards
66%1.51—
Over 5.5 cards
20%5.11—
Under 5.5 cards
80%1.24—
Over 6.5 cards
10%9.59—
Under 6.5 cards
90%1.12—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 9-7

LDLWL
LALille0-1
WHBoulogne6-1
LAToulouse2-3
DHAngers0-0
LHBrest1-2
AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 9-11

LWWWL
LAStade Rennais1-4
WHClermont Foot4-3
WHBrest2-1
WHNice1-0
LALyon1-3

Head-to-head

2026-04-05
Le Havre AC1 - 1AJ Auxerre
2025-10-26
AJ Auxerre0 - 1Le Havre AC
2025-05-04
AJ Auxerre1 - 2Le Havre AC
2024-09-01
Le Havre AC3 - 1AJ Auxerre
2022-05-07
Le Havre AC1 - 2AJ Auxerre
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Team comparison

#163 ▼8Power Index 43.7
Power Ranking
#112 ▲1Power Index 50.8
€62m16th in the league
Squad value
€96m13th in the league
Didier Digardsince 1 Jul 2024 · 77 games · 0.92 pts/game
Head coach
Will Stillsince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.29 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
42%Market 42%
Draw (X)
26%Market 28%
Away win (2)
31%Market 30%
Over 2.5 goals
50%Market 52%
Both teams to score
54%Market: —
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Le Havre AC 1 - 1 AJ Auxerre (12.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 112.2%
  2. 1 - 010.1%
  3. 2 - 18.9%
  4. 0 - 18.4%
  5. 1 - 27.4%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by AJ Auxerre
Goals scored by Le Havre AC
01234506.98.45.12.10.60.2110.112.27.43.00.90.227.38.95.42.20.70.233.64.32.61.10.30.141.31.61.00.40.10.050.40.50.30.10.00.0

Next matches of Le Havre AC

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayMarseille
30/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeParis Saint-Germain
8/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeLorient

Next matches of AJ Auxerre

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLe Mans
1/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayStrasbourg
7/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeParis FC

More matches on this day

Our model gives Le Havre AC win 42%, draw 26%, AJ Auxerre win 31%. over 2.5 goals 50%. both teams to score 54%. expected goals 1.46 - 1.22. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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