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Iraklis vs PAOK prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: PAOK vs Iraklis, 2026-10-18, Greek Super League, kickoff 21:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/GREEK SUPER LEAGUE/2026-10-18
stadiumGREEK SUPER LEAGUE•18:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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PAOKHOME
VS18:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.08

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

59%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

43%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

5

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

63%

ODDS

1.51

All Tips
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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

5%24%43%61%80%05:0109:0011:3014:0016:30
1 PAOKX2 Iraklis
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
PAOK (1)75.1%71.7%1.40trending_down-3.5 pp
Draw (X)15.8%17.9%5.58trending_up+2.1 pp
Iraklis (2)9%10.4%9.58trending_up+1.4 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK63%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 63%.

Indicative odds: 1.51
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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

PAOK 2 - 0 Iraklis

PROBABILITY

13.8%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.5Exp. cards 4.3
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
PAOK
77%1.291.26
Draw
15%6.526.00
Iraklis
7%13.6210.50
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
PAOK or draw
93%1.08—
Iraklis or draw
23%4.41—
Either team wins (no draw)
85%1.18—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
81%1.23—
Under 1.5 goals
19%5.40—
Over 2.5 goals
59%1.681.59
Under 2.5 goals
41%2.472.25
Over 3.5 goals
37%2.70—
Under 3.5 goals
63%1.59—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
43%2.33—
Not both score (NG)
57%1.75—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

PAOK

PAOK

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 9-8

WLWWL
LHKalamata1-3
WAPanetolikos3-1
WHAris2-0
LAPanathinaikos1-3
WAAtromitos2-1
Iraklis

Iraklis

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · goals 6-2

DWDDW
WHLevadiakos2-0
DAAris0-0
DHAtromitos1-1
WAAsteras Tripoli2-0
DAVolos NFC1-1

Head-to-head

2017-02-26
Iraklis1 - 1PAOK
2016-10-16
PAOK1 - 0Iraklis
2016-02-14
PAOK0 - 1Iraklis
2015-10-18
Iraklis3 - 3PAOK
2011-04-10
Iraklis0 - 0PAOK
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Team comparison

#91 ▼4Power Index 53.9
Power Ranking
#208 ▲4Power Index 36.2
€114m3rd in the league
Squad value
€12m13th in the league
Alessio Liscisince 1 Jul 2026 · 15 games · 1.73 pts/game
Head coach
Walter Mazzarrisince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 0.86 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
77%Market 78%
Draw (X)
15%Market 14%
Away win (2)
7%Market 8%
Over 2.5 goals
59%Market 60%
Both teams to score
43%Market: —
Expected goals
2.5 - 0.6

Most likely final scores

Most likely: PAOK 2 - 0 Iraklis (13.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 013.8%
  2. 3 - 011.3%
  3. 1 - 011.3%
  4. 2 - 18.7%
  5. 3 - 17.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Iraklis
Goals scored by PAOK
01234504.62.90.90.20.00.0111.37.12.20.50.10.0213.88.72.70.60.10.0311.37.12.20.50.10.046.94.41.40.30.00.053.42.10.70.10.00.0

Next matches of PAOK

25/10/2026 · GRE.1AwayOFI Crete
28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPHomeAEK Athens
1/11/2026 · GRE.1HomeAsteras Tripoli

Next matches of Iraklis

24/10/2026 · GRE.1HomeKifisia
2/11/2026 · GRE.1AwayKalamata
8/11/2026 · GRE.1HomePanathinaikos

More matches on this day

Our model gives PAOK win 77%, draw 15%, Iraklis win 7%. over 2.5 goals 59%. both teams to score 43%. expected goals 2.45 - 0.63. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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