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Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Osasuna vs Racing Santander, 2026-10-18, Spanish LALIGA, kickoff 15:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/SPANISH LALIGA/2026-10-18
stadiumSPANISH LALIGA•12:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS12:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.06

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

59%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

60%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

20%29%38%46%55%05:0009:0011:30
1 OsasunaX2 Racing Santander
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Osasuna (1)47.7%48.8%2.05trending_up+1.1 pp
Draw (X)25.8%25.4%3.93trending_flat-0.4 pp
Racing Santander (2)26.5%25.8%3.88trending_down-0.7 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Osasuna 1 - 1 Racing Santander

PROBABILITY

10.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.1Exp. cards 4.9
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Osasuna
50%2.022.00
Draw
24%4.203.70
Racing Santander
27%3.753.60
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Osasuna or draw
73%1.36—
Racing Santander or draw
51%1.98—
Either team wins (no draw)
76%1.31—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
81%1.231.15
Under 1.5 goals
19%5.324.50
Over 2.5 goals
59%1.701.62
Under 2.5 goals
41%2.432.30
Over 3.5 goals
37%2.742.40
Under 3.5 goals
63%1.581.55
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
60%1.66—
Not both score (NG)
40%2.51—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER41%
add_circleOsasuna
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.23
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Osasuna

Osasuna

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · goals 5-17

LLLDL
LAReal Betis2-5
DHRayo Vallecano1-1
LAAtlético Madrid0-4
LHEspanyol0-2
LAAlavés2-5
Racing Santander

Racing Santander

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 8-18

LWLLD
DHValencia2-2
LACelta Vigo0-5
LABarcelona2-7
WHAlavés2-1
LARayo Vallecano2-3

Head-to-head

2015-03-07
Racing Santander2 - 0Osasuna
2014-10-04
Osasuna0 - 2Racing Santander
2012-05-13
Racing Santander2 - 4Osasuna
2012-01-15
Osasuna0 - 2Racing Santander
2011-03-13
Osasuna3 - 1Racing Santander
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Team comparison

#73 ▲1Power Index 57.9
Power Ranking
#126Power Index 48.6
€82m17th in the league
Squad value
€115m13th in the league
Jagoba Arrasate NEWsince 12 Oct 2026 · 1 games · 3.00 pts/game
Head coach
José Alberto Lópezsince 13 Dec 2022 · 168 games · 1.65 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
49%Market 48%
Draw (X)
24%Market 25%
Away win (2)
27%Market 26%
Over 2.5 goals
59%Market 60%
Both teams to score
60%Market: —
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Osasuna 1 - 1 Racing Santander (10.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 110.7%
  2. 2 - 19.6%
  3. 1 - 08.4%
  4. 2 - 07.6%
  5. 1 - 26.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Racing Santander
Goals scored by Osasuna
01234504.76.03.81.60.50.118.410.76.72.80.90.227.69.66.02.50.80.234.55.73.61.50.50.142.02.61.60.70.20.150.70.90.60.20.10.0

Next matches of Osasuna

26/10/2026 · ESP.1AwaySevilla
2/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayDeportivo
7/11/2026 · ESP.1HomeAthletic Club

Next matches of Racing Santander

24/10/2026 · ESP.1HomeEspanyol
1/11/2026 · ESP.1HomeReal Madrid
7/11/2026 · ESP.1AwayMálaga

More matches on this day

Our model gives Osasuna win 49%, draw 24%, Racing Santander win 27%. over 2.5 goals 59%. both teams to score 60%. expected goals 1.79 - 1.26. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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