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AZ Alkmaar vs SC Cambuur prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar, 2026-10-18, Dutch Eredivisie, kickoff 15:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/DUTCH EREDIVISIE/2026-10-18
stadiumDUTCH EREDIVISIE•12:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS12:30 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.67

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MODEL OVER 2.5

71%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

63%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

2 (AZ Alkmaar)

MODEL PROBABILITY

66%

ODDS

1.47

All Tips
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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

10%25%40%55%70%05:0011:30
1 SC CambuurX2 AZ Alkmaar
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
SC Cambuur (1)16.5%15.8%6.35trending_down-0.7 pp
Draw (X)19.3%19.3%5.18trending_flat-0.1 pp
AZ Alkmaar (2)64.2%65%1.54trending_up+0.8 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK66%

2 (AZ Alkmaar)

Our probability: 66%.

Odds: 1.47
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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

SC Cambuur 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

PROBABILITY

9.3%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.6Exp. cards 3.1
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
SC Cambuur
16%6.345.75
Draw
18%5.554.85
AZ Alkmaar
66%1.511.50
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
SC Cambuur or draw
34%2.962.60
AZ Alkmaar or draw
84%1.191.14
Either team wins (no draw)
82%1.221.18
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
88%1.131.10
Under 1.5 goals
12%8.577.00
Over 2.5 goals
71%1.411.37
Under 2.5 goals
29%3.443.10
Over 3.5 goals
50%2.001.92
Under 3.5 goals
50%2.001.87
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
63%1.581.48
Not both score (NG)
37%2.742.52
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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
78%1.281.27
Under 7.5 corners
22%4.513.60
Over 8.5 corners
68%1.461.48
Under 8.5 corners
32%3.162.60
Over 9.5 corners
58%1.721.80
Under 9.5 corners
42%2.391.98
Over 10.5 corners
48%2.102.25
Under 10.5 corners
52%1.911.61
Over 11.5 corners
38%2.642.95
Under 11.5 corners
62%1.611.38
Over 12.5 corners
29%3.443.75
Under 12.5 corners
71%1.411.25
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
80%1.25—
Under 1.5 cards
20%4.99—
Over 2.5 cards
59%1.71—
Under 2.5 cards
41%2.42—
Over 3.5 cards
37%2.71—
Under 3.5 cards
63%1.59—
Over 4.5 cards
20%4.92—
Under 4.5 cards
80%1.26—
Over 5.5 cards
10%9.81—
Under 5.5 cards
90%1.11—
Over 6.5 cards
7%14.29—
Under 6.5 cards
93%1.08—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER52%
add_circleAZ Alkmaar
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 1.85
BUILDER41%
add_circleAZ Alkmaar or draw
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.13
BUILDER40%
add_circleEither team wins (no draw)
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.21
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

SC Cambuur

SC Cambuur

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 8-7

LDWDW
WAPEC Zwolle1-0
DAADO Den Haag1-1
WHNEC Nijmegen3-0
DATelstar2-2
LHFC Twente1-4
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 4-5

DLWLW
WHHapoel Be'er2-1
LAFeyenoord Rotterdam0-2
WHTelstar1-0
LASunderland0-1
DHWillem II1-1

Head-to-head

2023-02-25
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1SC Cambuur
2022-08-28
SC Cambuur0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
2022-01-22
AZ Alkmaar0 - 0SC Cambuur
2021-10-03
SC Cambuur1 - 3AZ Alkmaar
2017-03-02
AZ Alkmaar0 - 0SC Cambuur
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Team comparison

#244Power Index 27.4
Power Ranking
#71 ▼2Power Index 58.0
€15m17th in the league
Squad value
€161m4th in the league
Johan Platsince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.00 pts/game
Head coach
Lee-Roy Echteldsince 18 Jan 2026 · 37 games · 1.86 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
16%Market 16%
Draw (X)
18%Market 18%
Away win (2)
66%Market 66%
Over 2.5 goals
71%Market 71%
Both teams to score
63%Market: —
Expected goals
1.2 - 2.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: SC Cambuur 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar (9.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 29.3%
  2. 0 - 28.0%
  3. 1 - 37.8%
  4. 1 - 17.4%
  5. 0 - 36.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by AZ Alkmaar
Goals scored by SC Cambuur
01234502.56.48.06.74.22.113.07.49.37.84.92.421.74.35.44.52.81.430.71.72.11.81.10.640.20.50.60.50.30.250.00.10.10.10.10.0

Next matches of SC Cambuur

24/10/2026 · NED.1AwayWillem II
31/10/2026 · NED.1HomeGo Ahead Eagles
8/11/2026 · NED.1HomePSV Eindhoven

Next matches of AZ Alkmaar

25/10/2026 · NED.1HomeFC Twente
31/10/2026 · NED.1AwayAjax Amsterdam
8/11/2026 · NED.1HomeFC Groningen

More matches on this day

Our model gives SC Cambuur win 16%, draw 18%, AZ Alkmaar win 66%. over 2.5 goals 71%. both teams to score 63%. expected goals 1.17 - 2.50. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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