Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal, 2026-10-18, English Premier League, kickoff 18:30 Athens time

stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•15:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Nottingham Forest

VS15:30 GMT

Arsenal

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.70

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

51%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

48%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Over 2.5 κίτρινες cards

MODEL PROBABILITY

71%

ODDS

1.42

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 Nottingham ForestX2 Arsenal

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Nottingham Forest (1)	14.7%	17.3%	5.78	trending_up+2.6 pp
Draw (X)	23.9%	24.1%	4.15	trending_flat+0.2 pp
Arsenal (2)	61.4%	58.6%	1.71	trending_down-2.8 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK71%

Over 2.5 κίτρινες cards

Our probability: 71%.

Odds: 1.42

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Arsenal

PROBABILITY

12.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.2Exp. cards 3.7

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Nottingham Forest

15%6.546.50

Draw

22%4.464.00

Arsenal

62%1.611.56

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Nottingham Forest or draw

38%2.65—

Arsenal or draw

85%1.18—

Either team wins (no draw)

78%1.29—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

75%1.331.25

Under 1.5 goals

25%4.063.65

Over 2.5 goals

51%1.981.88

Under 2.5 goals

49%2.021.92

Over 3.5 goals

28%3.512.90

Under 3.5 goals

72%1.401.35

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

48%2.10—

Not both score (NG)

52%1.91—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

65%1.541.28

Under 7.5 corners

35%2.863.20

Over 8.5 corners

54%1.861.58

Under 8.5 corners

46%2.162.25

Over 9.5 corners

43%2.342.02

Under 9.5 corners

57%1.751.70

Over 10.5 corners

33%3.052.60

Under 10.5 corners

67%1.491.40

Over 11.5 corners

24%4.14—

Under 11.5 corners

76%1.32—

Over 12.5 corners

17%5.80—

Under 12.5 corners

83%1.21—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

88%1.14—

Under 1.5 cards

12%8.02—

Over 2.5 cards

71%1.401.47

Under 2.5 cards

29%3.492.40

Over 3.5 cards

51%1.952.13

Under 3.5 cards

49%2.051.63

Over 4.5 cards

32%3.08—

Under 4.5 cards

68%1.48—

Over 5.5 cards

18%5.42—

Under 5.5 cards

82%1.23—

Over 6.5 cards

10%10.28—

Under 6.5 cards

90%1.11—

layers

Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER50%

add_circleArsenal

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.83

BUILDER42%

add_circleArsenal

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.10

BUILDER38%

add_circleArsenal

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.43

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Nottingham Forest

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 5-7

DDWLL

LACrystal Palace1-3

LHCoventry City0-1

WAAston Villa2-1

DHTottenham Hotspur0-0

DALiverpool2-2

Arsenal

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 11-6

WWLWW

WHLille3-0

WHLeeds United2-1

LABrighton & Hove Albion0-3

WAIpswich Town4-2

WASunderland2-0

Head-to-head

2026-01-17

Nottingham Forest0 - 0Arsenal

2025-09-13

Arsenal3 - 0Nottingham Forest

2025-02-26

Nottingham Forest0 - 0Arsenal

2024-11-23

Arsenal3 - 0Nottingham Forest

2024-01-30

Nottingham Forest1 - 2Arsenal

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Team comparison

Nottingham Forest

VS

Arsenal

#30 ▲2Power Index 68.4

Power Ranking

#3 ▲1Power Index 87.2

€521m13th in the league

Squad value

€1.33bn2nd in the league

Oliver Glasnersince 6 Jul 2026 · 8 games · 0.63 pts/game

Head coach

Mikel Artetasince 22 Dec 2019 · 363 games · 2.04 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

15%Market 14%

Draw (X)

22%Market 23%

Away win (2)

62%Market 63%

Over 2.5 goals

51%Market 51%

Both teams to score

48%Market: —

Expected goals

0.8 - 1.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Arsenal (12.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 0 - 112.7%
2. 0 - 212.0%
3. 1 - 110.3%
4. 1 - 29.7%
5. 0 - 37.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Arsenal

Goals scored by Nottingham Forest

01234506.712.712.07.53.51.315.510.39.76.12.91.122.24.24.02.51.20.430.61.11.10.70.30.140.10.20.20.10.10.050.00.00.00.00.00.0

Next matches of Nottingham Forest

23/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayIpswich Town

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayBrentford

7/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeManchester City

Next matches of Arsenal

24/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeEverton

1/11/2026 · ENG.1AwayLiverpool

7/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeHull City

Our model gives Nottingham Forest win 15%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 62%. over 2.5 goals 51%. both teams to score 48%. expected goals 0.81 - 1.88. largest gap to the market: Nottingham Forest win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.