Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian prediction, tips and odds
Next scheduled meeting: Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic, 29/11/2026, sco.1. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
3.41
MODEL OVER 2.5
66%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
63%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
4
Over 2.5 goals
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic (1) | 59.7% | 57.2% | 1.75 | trending_down-2.5 pp |
| Draw (X) | 20.6% | 21.9% | 4.57 | trending_up+1.3 pp |
| Heart of Midlothian (2) | 19.7% | 20.9% | 4.78 | trending_up+1.2 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Over 2.5 goals
Our probability: 68%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Celtic 2 - 1 Heart of Midlothian
9.7%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Celtic
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 4-11
Benfica1-4
Motherwell2-0
Rangers0-1
Ferencvaros1-3Rangers0-3
Heart of Midlothian
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 11-4
FC Nordsjælland1-1
St Mirren5-0
Kilmarnock1-1
Falkirk1-2
Stenhousemuir3-0Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Celtic 2 - 1 Heart of Midlothian (9.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 2 - 19.7%
- 1 - 18.8%
- 2 - 08.0%
- 1 - 07.2%
- 3 - 17.1%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Heart of MidlothianNext matches of Celtic
Hibernian
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Our model gives Celtic win 59%, draw 21%, Heart of Midlothian win 20%. over 2.5 goals 66%. both teams to score 63%. expected goals 2.20 - 1.21. largest gap to the market: Celtic win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.