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Kalamata vs OFI Crete prediction, tips and odds

Next scheduled meeting: OFI Crete vs Kalamata, 20/12/2026, gre.1. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.

MATCH ANALYSIS/GREEK SUPER LEAGUE/2026-10-18
stadiumGREEK SUPER LEAGUE•13:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS13:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.53

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

47%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

52%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

25%30%35%40%45%05:0109:00
1 KalamataX2 OFI Crete
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Kalamata (1)35.1%33.8%2.96trending_down-1.3 pp
Draw (X)29.2%29.1%3.44trending_flat-0.0 pp
OFI Crete (2)35.8%37.1%2.70trending_up+1.4 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Kalamata 1 - 1 OFI Crete

PROBABILITY

12.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.3Exp. cards 5.2
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Kalamata
37%2.692.70
Draw
28%3.633.25
OFI Crete
35%2.842.65
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Kalamata or draw
65%1.54—
OFI Crete or draw
63%1.59—
Either team wins (no draw)
72%1.38—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
72%1.38—
Under 1.5 goals
28%3.62—
Over 2.5 goals
47%2.152.00
Under 2.5 goals
53%1.871.74
Over 3.5 goals
25%4.00—
Under 3.5 goals
75%1.33—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
52%1.92—
Not both score (NG)
48%2.08—
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Kalamata

Kalamata

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-6

LDWLW
WAPAOK3-1
LHPanathinaikos0-1
WHVolos NFC3-1
DAAtromitos1-1
LAPanetolikos0-2
OFI Crete

OFI Crete

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 6-7

WWDLL
LAStade Rennais1-2
LAAEK Athens0-3
DHAsteras Tripoli2-2
WHTSG Hoffenheim2-0
WAOlympiacos1-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

#226 ▼3Power Index 33.8
Power Ranking
#241 ▼1Power Index 30.2
€12m12th in the league
Squad value
€22m6th in the league
Panagiotis Christofileassince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 1.50 pts/game
Head coach
Christos Kontissince 29 Oct 2025 · 46 games · 1.57 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
37%Market 35%
Draw (X)
28%Market 29%
Away win (2)
35%Market 36%
Over 2.5 goals
47%Market 46%
Both teams to score
52%Market: —
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Kalamata 1 - 1 OFI Crete (12.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 112.7%
  2. 1 - 010.2%
  3. 0 - 19.9%
  4. 2 - 18.2%
  5. 1 - 27.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by OFI Crete
Goals scored by Kalamata
01234507.99.96.22.60.80.2110.212.77.93.31.00.326.68.25.12.10.70.232.83.52.20.90.30.140.91.10.70.30.10.050.20.30.20.10.00.0

Next matches of Kalamata

25/10/2026 · GRE.1AwayOlympiacos
28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayNestos Chrysoupolis
2/11/2026 · GRE.1HomeIraklis

Next matches of OFI Crete

22/10/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAHomeBayer Leverkusen
25/10/2026 · GRE.1HomePAOK
28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayAEL

More matches on this day

Our model gives Kalamata win 37%, draw 28%, OFI Crete win 35%. over 2.5 goals 47%. both teams to score 52%. expected goals 1.29 - 1.25. largest gap to the market: Kalamata win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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