Angers vs Marseille prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Angers vs Marseille, 2026-10-18, French Ligue 1, kickoff 16:00 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•13:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Angers

VS13:00 GMT

Marseille

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.09

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

60%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

61%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 10.5 corners

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.55

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 AngersX2 Marseille

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Angers (1)	27.2%	26.1%	3.83	trending_down-1.1 pp
Draw (X)	25.1%	25.1%	3.99	trending_flat-0.0 pp
Marseille (2)	47.7%	48.8%	2.05	trending_up+1.2 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

Under 10.5 corners

Expected corners: Angers 4.1, Marseille 5.0, total 9.0 (line 10.5).

Corners-for rate vs average: Angers x0.93, Marseille x1.04 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).

Odds: 1.55

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Angers 1 - 1 Marseille

PROBABILITY

10.6%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.1Exp. cards 3.5

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Angers

28%3.643.50

Draw

24%4.213.80

Marseille

49%2.052.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Angers or draw

51%1.95—

Marseille or draw

72%1.38—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.31—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

82%1.221.15

Under 1.5 goals

18%5.474.50

Over 2.5 goals

60%1.681.62

Under 2.5 goals

40%2.482.30

Over 3.5 goals

37%2.682.40

Under 3.5 goals

63%1.601.55

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

61%1.64—

Not both score (NG)

39%2.56—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

64%1.56—

Under 7.5 corners

36%2.78—

Over 8.5 corners

53%1.901.45

Under 8.5 corners

47%2.112.50

Over 9.5 corners

42%2.401.78

Under 9.5 corners

58%1.711.92

Over 10.5 corners

32%3.152.25

Under 10.5 corners

68%1.461.55

Over 11.5 corners

23%4.293.00

Under 11.5 corners

77%1.301.32

Over 12.5 corners

17%6.05—

Under 12.5 corners

83%1.20—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

85%1.18—

Under 1.5 cards

15%6.67—

Over 2.5 cards

67%1.501.37

Under 2.5 cards

33%3.022.75

Over 3.5 cards

46%2.181.90

Under 3.5 cards

54%1.851.80

Over 4.5 cards

28%3.63—

Under 4.5 cards

72%1.38—

Over 5.5 cards

15%6.70—

Under 5.5 cards

85%1.18—

Over 6.5 cards

8%13.14—

Under 6.5 cards

92%1.08—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER41%

add_circleMarseille

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.24

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Angers

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-8

WLDWL

LABrest1-5

WHTroyes2-0

DALe Havre AC0-0

LHStade Rennais1-2

WAAJ Auxerre3-1

Marseille

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 4-8

LLLWL

LHOlympiacos0-1

WATroyes2-0

LAMontpellier0-1

LHParis Saint-Germain1-2

LABesiktas1-4

Head-to-head

2026-01-17

Angers2 - 5Marseille

2025-10-29

Marseille2 - 2Angers

2025-02-09

Angers0 - 2Marseille

2024-10-04

Marseille1 - 1Angers

2023-05-14

Marseille3 - 1Angers

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Team comparison

Angers

VS

Marseille

#173 ▼8Power Index 42.4

Power Ranking

#38 ▼1Power Index 67.0

€66m15th in the league

Squad value

€189m9th in the league

Stéphane Gillisince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.00 pts/game

Head coach

Bruno Genesiosince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.00 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

28%Market 27%

Draw (X)

24%Market 25%

Away win (2)

49%Market 48%

Over 2.5 goals

60%Market 60%

Both teams to score

61%Market: —

Expected goals

1.3 - 1.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Angers 1 - 1 Marseille (10.6%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.6%
2. 1 - 29.5%
3. 0 - 18.1%
4. 0 - 27.3%
5. 2 - 16.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Marseille

Goals scored by Angers

01234504.58.17.34.42.00.715.910.69.55.72.50.923.86.96.23.71.60.631.73.02.71.60.70.340.51.00.90.50.20.150.10.30.20.10.10.0

Next matches of Angers

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLorient

31/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayLyon

8/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeNice

Next matches of Marseille

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLe Havre AC

1/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeToulouse

8/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayLens

Our model gives Angers win 28%, draw 24%, Marseille win 49%. over 2.5 goals 60%. both teams to score 61%. expected goals 1.30 - 1.79. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.