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Lecce vs Udinese prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Udinese vs Lecce, 2026-10-18, Italian Serie A, kickoff 13:30 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/ITALIAN SERIE A/2026-10-18
stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•10:30 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS10:30 GMT
LecceAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.63

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

49%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

50%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

15%26%38%49%60%05:0009:00
1 UdineseX2 Lecce
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Udinese (1)52.2%51.6%1.94trending_down-0.6 pp
Draw (X)26.4%27.3%3.66trending_up+0.9 pp
Lecce (2)21.5%21.1%4.74trending_flat-0.4 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Udinese 1 - 0 Lecce

PROBABILITY

12.1%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.3Exp. cards 3.3
swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Udinese
54%1.851.77
Draw
25%4.013.50
Lecce
21%4.764.30
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Udinese or draw
79%1.27—
Lecce or draw
46%2.18—
Either team wins (no draw)
75%1.33—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
74%1.351.27
Under 1.5 goals
26%3.863.45
Over 2.5 goals
49%2.051.95
Under 2.5 goals
51%1.951.85
Over 3.5 goals
27%3.713.10
Under 3.5 goals
73%1.371.32
sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
50%1.99—
Not both score (NG)
50%2.01—
flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
67%1.50—
Under 7.5 corners
33%3.02—
Over 8.5 corners
56%1.791.50
Under 8.5 corners
44%2.262.35
Over 9.5 corners
45%2.231.90
Under 9.5 corners
55%1.811.80
Over 10.5 corners
35%2.882.45
Under 10.5 corners
65%1.531.45
Over 11.5 corners
26%3.87—
Under 11.5 corners
74%1.35—
Over 12.5 corners
19%5.36—
Under 12.5 corners
81%1.23—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
83%1.20—
Under 1.5 cards
17%5.93—
Over 2.5 cards
64%1.571.37
Under 2.5 cards
36%2.752.75
Over 3.5 cards
42%2.371.90
Under 3.5 cards
58%1.731.80
Over 4.5 cards
25%4.07—
Under 4.5 cards
75%1.33—
Over 5.5 cards
13%7.76—
Under 5.5 cards
87%1.15—
Over 6.5 cards
7%14.29—
Under 6.5 cards
93%1.08—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER42%
add_circleUdinese
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.13
BUILDER37%
add_circleUdinese
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.34
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Udinese

Udinese

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · goals 6-11

LLLDL
LATorino1-2
DAPogon Szczecin1-1
LHCagliari0-1
LAInternazionale3-5
LHLazio1-2
Lecce

Lecce

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 4-12

LLWLL
LHBologna1-2
LAAC Milan0-3
WHMonza3-2
LACagliari0-1
LHAS Roma0-4

Head-to-head

2026-02-08
Lecce2 - 1Udinese
2025-10-25
Udinese3 - 2Lecce
2025-02-21
Lecce0 - 1Udinese
2024-10-05
Udinese1 - 0Lecce
2024-05-13
Lecce0 - 2Udinese
compare_arrows

Team comparison

#129 ▼8Power Index 48.3
Power Ranking
#185 ▲11Power Index 40.3
€162m14th in the league
Squad value
€83m20th in the league
Kosta Runjaićsince 1 Jul 2024 · 91 games · 1.27 pts/game
Head coach
Eusebio Di Francescosince 26 Jun 2025 · 48 games · 1.04 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
54%Market 54%
Draw (X)
25%Market 26%
Away win (2)
21%Market 21%
Over 2.5 goals
49%Market 48%
Both teams to score
50%Market: —
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Udinese 1 - 0 Lecce (12.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 012.1%
  2. 1 - 111.5%
  3. 2 - 010.2%
  4. 2 - 19.7%
  5. 0 - 07.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Lecce
Goals scored by Udinese
01234507.26.93.31.00.20.0112.111.55.51.70.40.1210.29.74.61.50.30.135.75.42.60.80.20.042.42.31.10.30.10.050.80.80.40.10.00.0

Next matches of Udinese

25/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeAC Milan
28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayParma
31/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeAS Roma

Next matches of Lecce

25/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeJuventus
29/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayFrosinone
1/11/2026 · ITA.1HomeGenoa

More matches on this day

Our model gives Udinese win 54%, draw 25%, Lecce win 21%. over 2.5 goals 49%. both teams to score 50%. expected goals 1.68 - 0.95. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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