Como vs Fiorentina prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Fiorentina vs Como, 2026-10-18, Italian Serie A, kickoff 16:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.96
MODEL OVER 2.5
57%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
59%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
2
Under 10.5 corners
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina (1) | 28.9% | 28.2% | 3.55 | trending_down-0.7 pp |
| Draw (X) | 26% | 26.5% | 3.77 | trending_up+0.5 pp |
| Como (2) | 45.1% | 45.3% | 2.21 | trending_flat+0.2 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 10.5 corners
Expected corners: Fiorentina 3.7, Como 4.6, total 8.3 (line 10.5).
Corners-for rate vs average: Fiorentina x0.88, Como x1.06 (sample 25 and 24 equivalent matches).
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Como
11.1%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Fiorentina
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 18-5
Genoa1-2
Napoli1-1
Pisa3-0
Venezia4-2
Como
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 8-7
Feyenoord Rotterdam2-3
AS Roma0-0
Frosinone0-2
Parma2-1
RB Leipzig4-1Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Fiorentina 1 - 1 Como (11.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 111.1%
- 1 - 29.4%
- 0 - 18.8%
- 0 - 27.5%
- 2 - 17.0%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by ComoNext matches of Fiorentina
Internazionale
Atalanta
SassuoloNext matches of Como
Sassuolo
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Our model gives Fiorentina win 28%, draw 25%, Como win 47%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 59%. expected goals 1.26 - 1.70. largest gap to the market: Como win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.