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Gaziantep FK vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK, 2026-10-18, Turkish Super Lig, kickoff 19:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/TURKISH SUPER LIG/2026-10-18
stadiumTURKISH SUPER LIG•16:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.15

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MODEL OVER 2.5

61%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

58%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

15%28%40%53%65%05:0109:0011:3014:00
1 Istanbul BasaksehirX2 Gaziantep FK
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Istanbul Basaksehir (1)57.4%57.5%1.74trending_flat+0.0 pp
Draw (X)22.5%22%4.55trending_down-0.5 pp
Gaziantep FK (2)20.1%20.5%4.87trending_up+0.4 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Istanbul Basaksehir 2 - 1 Gaziantep FK

PROBABILITY

9.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Istanbul Basaksehir
60%1.671.65
Draw
21%4.704.20
Gaziantep FK
19%5.344.70
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw
81%1.23—
Gaziantep FK or draw
40%2.50—
Either team wins (no draw)
79%1.27—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
83%1.21—
Under 1.5 goals
17%5.73—
Over 2.5 goals
61%1.641.56
Under 2.5 goals
39%2.572.35
Over 3.5 goals
39%2.58—
Under 3.5 goals
61%1.63—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
58%1.72—
Not both score (NG)
42%2.38—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER42%
add_circleIstanbul Basaksehir
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.22
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Istanbul Basaksehir

Istanbul Basaksehir

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 7-9

DLLWD
DAKonyaspor0-0
WHGenclerbirligi4-0
LAAmed SFK0-5
LHGalatasaray2-3
DHKasimpasa1-1
Gaziantep FK

Gaziantep FK

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-9

LWDLL
LHÇorum FK0-3
LAKocaelispor0-2
DHFenerbahce0-0
WAGoztepe4-2
LHCaykur Rizespor1-2

Head-to-head

2026-05-16
Gaziantep FK1 - 2Istanbul Basaksehir
2025-12-22
Istanbul Basaksehir5 - 1Gaziantep FK
2025-04-20
Istanbul Basaksehir2 - 1Gaziantep FK
2024-11-23
Gaziantep FK3 - 0Istanbul Basaksehir
2024-02-24
Gaziantep FK0 - 2Istanbul Basaksehir
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Team comparison

#166 ▼2Power Index 43.1
Power Ranking
#243Power Index 28.6
€72m5th in the league
Squad value
€31m14th in the league
Nuri Şahinsince 15 Sep 2025 · 45 games · 1.62 pts/game
Head coach
Orhan Ak NEWsince 4 Sep 2026 · 5 games · 0.80 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
60%Market 59%
Draw (X)
21%Market 22%
Away win (2)
19%Market 19%
Over 2.5 goals
61%Market 61%
Both teams to score
58%Market: —
Expected goals
2.1 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Istanbul Basaksehir 2 - 1 Gaziantep FK (9.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 19.9%
  2. 1 - 19.6%
  3. 2 - 09.2%
  4. 1 - 08.9%
  5. 3 - 16.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Gaziantep FK
Goals scored by Istanbul Basaksehir
01234504.34.62.50.90.20.118.99.65.21.90.50.129.29.95.31.90.50.136.46.93.71.30.40.143.33.61.90.70.20.051.41.50.80.30.10.0

Next matches of Istanbul Basaksehir

26/10/2026 · TUR.1AwayBesiktas
1/11/2026 · TUR.1HomeSamsunspor
7/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayGoztepe

Next matches of Gaziantep FK

24/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeErzurum BB
1/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayTrabzonspor
6/11/2026 · TUR.1HomeKasimpasa

More matches on this day

Our model gives Istanbul Basaksehir win 60%, draw 21%, Gaziantep FK win 19%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 58%. expected goals 2.08 - 1.08. largest gap to the market: Istanbul Basaksehir win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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