Falkirk vs Hibernian prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Hibernian vs Falkirk, 2026-10-17, Scottish Premiership, kickoff 17:00 Athens time

stadiumSCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Hibernian

VS14:00 GMT

Falkirk

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.90

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

55%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

54%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.42

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 HibernianX2 Falkirk

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Hibernian (1)	56.7%	55.2%	1.81	trending_down-1.5 pp
Draw (X)	23.6%	24.3%	4.12	trending_up+0.6 pp
Falkirk (2)	19.7%	20.6%	4.86	trending_up+0.9 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.42

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Hibernian 1 - 1 Falkirk

PROBABILITY

10.5%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.7Exp. cards 3.9

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Hibernian

58%1.731.67

Draw

23%4.384.00

Falkirk

19%5.154.80

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Hibernian or draw

81%1.24—

Falkirk or draw

42%2.37—

Either team wins (no draw)

77%1.30—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

79%1.27—

Under 1.5 goals

21%4.73—

Over 2.5 goals

55%1.801.69

Under 2.5 goals

45%2.242.10

Over 3.5 goals

33%3.03—

Under 3.5 goals

67%1.49—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

54%1.84—

Not both score (NG)

46%2.18—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

79%1.27—

Under 7.5 corners

21%4.67—

Over 8.5 corners

69%1.44—

Under 8.5 corners

31%3.26—

Over 9.5 corners

59%1.69—

Under 9.5 corners

41%2.45—

Over 10.5 corners

49%2.05—

Under 10.5 corners

51%1.95—

Over 11.5 corners

39%2.57—

Under 11.5 corners

61%1.64—

Over 12.5 corners

30%3.33—

Under 12.5 corners

70%1.43—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

89%1.13—

Under 1.5 cards

11%8.95—

Over 2.5 cards

74%1.35—

Under 2.5 cards

26%3.82—

Over 3.5 cards

54%1.84—

Under 3.5 cards

46%2.19—

Over 4.5 cards

35%2.82—

Under 4.5 cards

65%1.55—

Over 5.5 cards

21%4.82—

Under 5.5 cards

79%1.26—

Over 6.5 cards

11%8.94—

Under 6.5 cards

89%1.13—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER38%

add_circleHibernian

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.39

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Hibernian

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-5

LWLDL

LADundee United0-1

DHAberdeen1-1

LHKilmarnock0-1

WARoss County3-0

LASt Johnstone1-2

Falkirk

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 6-7

LDWDL

LHDundee1-2

DASt Johnstone1-1

WHHeart of Midlothian2-1

DADundee United1-1

LHRangers1-2

Head-to-head

2026-05-09

Falkirk1 - 3Hibernian

2026-01-24

Falkirk4 - 1Hibernian

2025-12-06

Hibernian3 - 0Falkirk

2025-09-23

Falkirk2 - 2Hibernian

2022-07-12

Falkirk1 - 0Hibernian

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Team comparison

Hibernian

VS

Falkirk

#150 ▼5Power Index 45.6

Power Ranking

#181 ▲1Power Index 41.1

€17m4th in the league

Squad value

€6.2m12th in the league

Marink Reedijk NEWsince 24 Sep 2026 · 2 games · 0.00 pts/game

Head coach

John McGlynnsince 4 May 2022 · 201 games · 1.88 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

58%Market 58%

Draw (X)

23%Market 23%

Away win (2)

19%Market 19%

Over 2.5 goals

55%Market 56%

Both teams to score

54%Market: —

Expected goals

1.9 - 1.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Hibernian 1 - 1 Falkirk (10.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.5%
2. 1 - 010.4%
3. 2 - 19.9%
4. 2 - 09.9%
5. 3 - 16.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Falkirk

Goals scored by Hibernian

01234505.55.52.80.90.20.0110.410.55.31.80.40.129.99.95.01.70.40.136.26.33.21.10.30.142.93.01.50.50.10.051.11.10.60.20.00.0

Next matches of Hibernian

25/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeCeltic

28/10/2026 · SCO.1AwaySt Mirren

7/11/2026 · SCO.1AwayAberdeen

Next matches of Falkirk

24/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeKilmarnock

28/10/2026 · SCO.1AwayAberdeen

1/11/2026 · SCO.1HomeCeltic

Our model gives Hibernian win 58%, draw 23%, Falkirk win 19%. over 2.5 goals 55%. both teams to score 54%. expected goals 1.89 - 1.01. largest gap to the market: Falkirk win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.