Brest vs Lille prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Lille vs Brest, 2026-10-17, French Ligue 1, kickoff 21:45 Athens time

stadiumFRENCH LIGUE 1•18:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Lille

VS18:45 GMT

Brest

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.88

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

55%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

57%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

67%

ODDS

1.43

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 LilleX2 Brest

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Lille (1)	47.9%	46.6%	2.15	trending_down-1.3 pp
Draw (X)	25.5%	26.2%	3.82	trending_up+0.6 pp
Brest (2)	26.6%	27.3%	3.67	trending_up+0.7 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK67%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 67%.

Indicative odds: 1.43

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Lille 1 - 1 Brest

PROBABILITY

11.3%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.3Exp. cards 3.6

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lille

49%2.052.00

Draw

25%4.053.75

Brest

27%3.773.60

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lille or draw

73%1.36—

Brest or draw

51%1.95—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

79%1.27—

Under 1.5 goals

22%4.65—

Over 2.5 goals

55%1.821.71

Under 2.5 goals

45%2.222.10

Over 3.5 goals

33%3.08—

Under 3.5 goals

67%1.48—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

57%1.75—

Not both score (NG)

43%2.33—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

66%1.51—

Under 7.5 corners

34%2.94—

Over 8.5 corners

55%1.82—

Under 8.5 corners

45%2.22—

Over 9.5 corners

44%2.28—

Under 9.5 corners

56%1.78—

Over 10.5 corners

34%2.96—

Under 10.5 corners

66%1.51—

Over 11.5 corners

25%3.99—

Under 11.5 corners

75%1.33—

Over 12.5 corners

18%5.56—

Under 12.5 corners

82%1.22—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

86%1.16—

Under 1.5 cards

14%7.40—

Over 2.5 cards

69%1.44—

Under 2.5 cards

31%3.27—

Over 3.5 cards

49%2.04—

Under 3.5 cards

51%1.96—

Over 4.5 cards

30%3.30—

Under 4.5 cards

70%1.44—

Over 5.5 cards

17%5.93—

Under 5.5 cards

83%1.20—

Over 6.5 cards

9%11.42—

Under 6.5 cards

91%1.10—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Lille

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · goals 6-6

WLWWL

LAArsenal0-3

WHLe Havre AC1-0

WHZulte-Waregem2-1

LANice1-2

WHTroyes2-0

Brest

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 10-7

WLLDW

WHAngers5-1

DHMonza2-2

LAAJ Auxerre1-2

LHParis Saint-Germain0-1

WALe Havre AC2-1

Head-to-head

2026-02-14

Lille1 - 1Brest

2025-08-17

Brest3 - 3Lille

2025-05-10

Brest2 - 0Lille

2024-12-06

Lille3 - 1Brest

2024-03-17

Brest1 - 1Lille

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Team comparison

Lille

VS

Brest

#47 ▼3Power Index 64.6

Power Ranking

#88 ▼3Power Index 54.2

€253m6th in the league

Squad value

€88m14th in the league

Davide Ancelottisince 8 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.56 pts/game

Head coach

Julien Lachuersince 1 Jul 2026 · 7 games · 1.29 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

49%Market 49%

Draw (X)

25%Market 25%

Away win (2)

27%Market 26%

Over 2.5 goals

55%Market 56%

Both teams to score

57%Market: —

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Lille 1 - 1 Brest (11.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.3%
2. 2 - 19.5%
3. 1 - 09.5%
4. 2 - 08.0%
5. 1 - 26.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Brest

Goals scored by Lille

01234505.66.74.01.60.50.119.511.36.72.70.80.228.09.55.72.20.70.234.55.43.21.30.40.141.92.31.30.50.20.050.60.80.50.20.10.0

Next matches of Lille

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayAS Monaco

30/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLens

8/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayStade Rennais

Next matches of Brest

23/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeNice

31/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayLorient

8/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeLyon

Our model gives Lille win 49%, draw 25%, Brest win 27%. over 2.5 goals 55%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 1.69 - 1.19. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.