ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven, 2026-10-17, Dutch Eredivisie, kickoff 17:30 Athens time

stadiumDUTCH EREDIVISIE•14:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

ADO Den Haag

VS14:30 GMT

PSV Eindhoven

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

4.33

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

81%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

66%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 ADO Den HaagX2 PSV Eindhoven

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
ADO Den Haag (1)	11.8%	11.8%	8.45	trending_flat+0.1 pp
Draw (X)	14.5%	14.6%	6.87	trending_flat+0.1 pp
PSV Eindhoven (2)	73.7%	73.6%	1.36	trending_flat-0.1 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

ADO Den Haag 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven

PROBABILITY

8.1%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 11.0Exp. cards 3.1

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

ADO Den Haag

10%9.758.00

Draw

13%7.556.50

PSV Eindhoven

77%1.311.28

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

ADO Den Haag or draw

24%4.26—

PSV Eindhoven or draw

90%1.11—

Either team wins (no draw)

87%1.15—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

93%1.071.06

Under 1.5 goals

7%14.546.70

Over 2.5 goals

81%1.241.20

Under 2.5 goals

19%5.163.95

Over 3.5 goals

63%1.591.60

Under 3.5 goals

37%2.692.25

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

66%1.52—

Not both score (NG)

34%2.94—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

81%1.24—

Under 7.5 corners

19%5.17—

Over 8.5 corners

72%1.39—

Under 8.5 corners

28%3.55—

Over 9.5 corners

62%1.611.42

Under 9.5 corners

38%2.632.60

Over 10.5 corners

52%1.931.78

Under 10.5 corners

48%2.071.92

Over 11.5 corners

42%2.392.25

Under 11.5 corners

58%1.721.57

Over 12.5 corners

33%3.062.90

Under 12.5 corners

67%1.491.35

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

81%1.23—

Under 1.5 cards

19%5.31—

Over 2.5 cards

60%1.65—

Under 2.5 cards

40%2.53—

Over 3.5 cards

39%2.58—

Under 3.5 cards

61%1.63—

Over 4.5 cards

22%4.59—

Under 4.5 cards

78%1.28—

Over 5.5 cards

11%9.00—

Under 5.5 cards

89%1.12—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

ADO Den Haag

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · goals 7-10

DLLDD

DATelstar2-2

DHSC Cambuur1-1

LAFC Twente0-2

LHFortuna Sittard2-3

DAFeyenoord Rotterdam2-2

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-6

DWLWL

LARB Leipzig0-1

WHHeerenveen2-0

LAFC Twente2-3

WHSparta Rotterdam4-1

DHShakhtar Donetsk1-1

Head-to-head

2023-03-02

PSV Eindhoven3 - 1ADO Den Haag

2021-02-13

ADO Den Haag2 - 2PSV Eindhoven

2020-11-01

PSV Eindhoven4 - 0ADO Den Haag

2020-02-15

ADO Den Haag0 - 3PSV Eindhoven

2019-08-11

PSV Eindhoven3 - 1ADO Den Haag

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Team comparison

ADO Den Haag

VS

PSV Eindhoven

#224 ▲3Power Index 33.9

Power Ranking

#23 ▼1Power Index 70.0

€21m15th in the league

Squad value

€307m1st in the league

Robin Petersince 14 Jul 2025 · 48 games · 1.98 pts/game

Head coach

Peter Boszsince 1 Jul 2023 · 159 games · 2.18 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

10%Market 10%

Draw (X)

13%Market 13%

Away win (2)

77%Market 77%

Over 2.5 goals

81%Market 80%

Both teams to score

66%Market: —

Expected goals

1.2 - 3.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: ADO Den Haag 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven (8.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 38.1%
2. 1 - 27.7%
3. 0 - 37.0%
4. 0 - 26.6%
5. 1 - 46.4%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by PSV Eindhoven

Goals scored by ADO Den Haag

01234501.34.26.67.05.53.511.54.87.78.16.44.120.92.84.54.73.72.430.31.11.71.81.40.940.10.30.50.50.40.350.00.10.10.10.10.1

Next matches of ADO Den Haag

24/10/2026 · NED.1HomeHeerenveen

1/11/2026 · NED.1AwayPEC Zwolle

7/11/2026 · NED.1HomeSparta Rotterdam

Next matches of PSV Eindhoven

25/10/2026 · NED.1HomeFeyenoord Rotterdam

31/10/2026 · NED.1HomeWillem II

8/11/2026 · NED.1AwaySC Cambuur

Our model gives ADO Den Haag win 10%, draw 13%, PSV Eindhoven win 77%. over 2.5 goals 81%. both teams to score 66%. expected goals 1.16 - 3.17. largest gap to the market: draw (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.