FC Augsburg vs SV Elversberg prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg, 2026-10-17, German Bundesliga, kickoff 16:30 Athens time

stadiumGERMAN BUNDESLIGA•13:30 GMT

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HOME

SV Elversberg

VS13:30 GMT

FC Augsburg

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.39

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MODEL OVER 2.5

66%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

67%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

Both teams to score (GG)

MODEL PROBABILITY

65%

ODDS

1.45

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 SV ElversbergX2 FC Augsburg

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
SV Elversberg (1)	38.4%	38.5%	2.60	trending_flat+0.1 pp
Draw (X)	25.6%	26%	3.84	trending_up+0.5 pp
FC Augsburg (2)	36.1%	35.5%	2.82	trending_down-0.6 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK65%

Both teams to score (GG)

Our probability: 65%.

Indicative odds: 1.45

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

SV Elversberg 1 - 1 FC Augsburg

PROBABILITY

9.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.1Exp. cards 3.6

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

SV Elversberg

40%2.512.40

Draw

23%4.303.60

FC Augsburg

37%2.712.55

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

SV Elversberg or draw

63%1.59—

FC Augsburg or draw

60%1.66—

Either team wins (no draw)

77%1.30—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

85%1.171.14

Under 1.5 goals

15%6.884.60

Over 2.5 goals

66%1.521.45

Under 2.5 goals

34%2.922.65

Over 3.5 goals

44%2.282.08

Under 3.5 goals

56%1.781.75

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

67%1.50—

Not both score (NG)

33%3.02—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

SV Elversberg

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-7

LDLWL

LA1. FC Union Berlin0-1

WATSG Hoffenheim3-2

LASV Waldhof Mannheim1-2

DASchalke 040-0

LHBayern Munich1-2

FC Augsburg

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · goals 12-10

WDLDD

DHBayern Munich2-2

DHHertha Berlin2-2

LAWerder Bremen2-3

DHBayer Leverkusen2-2

WAEintracht Frankfurt4-1

Head-to-head

2015-08-07

SV Elversberg1 - 3FC Augsburg

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Team comparison

SV Elversberg

VS

FC Augsburg

#95 ▲7Power Index 52.7

Power Ranking

#89 ▼1Power Index 54.2

€74m17th in the league

Squad value

€192m9th in the league

Vincent Wagnersince 1 Jul 2025 · 43 games · 1.81 pts/game

Head coach

Manuel Baumsince 1 Dec 2025 · 29 games · 1.52 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

40%Market 39%

Draw (X)

23%Market 25%

Away win (2)

37%Market 36%

Over 2.5 goals

66%Market 66%

Both teams to score

67%Market: —

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.7

Most likely final scores

Most likely: SV Elversberg 1 - 1 FC Augsburg (9.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 19.7%
2. 2 - 18.4%
3. 1 - 28.0%
4. 2 - 26.9%
5. 1 - 05.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by FC Augsburg

Goals scored by SV Elversberg

01234503.45.64.72.61.10.415.89.78.04.41.80.625.08.46.93.81.60.532.94.84.02.20.90.341.32.11.71.00.40.150.40.70.60.30.10.0

Next matches of SV Elversberg

24/10/2026 · GER.1AwayRB Leipzig

30/10/2026 · GER.1HomeMainz

7/11/2026 · GER.1AwayBorussia Dortmund

Next matches of FC Augsburg

24/10/2026 · GER.1Home1. FC Union Berlin

31/10/2026 · GER.1HomeSC Freiburg

7/11/2026 · GER.1AwayRB Leipzig

Our model gives SV Elversberg win 40%, draw 23%, FC Augsburg win 37%. over 2.5 goals 66%. both teams to score 67%. expected goals 1.73 - 1.66. largest gap to the market: draw (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.