Athletic Club vs Valencia prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Valencia vs Athletic Club, 2026-10-17, Spanish LALIGA, kickoff 22:00 Athens time
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.45
MODEL OVER 2.5
44%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
50%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
3
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia (1) | 29.8% | 29% | 3.45 | trending_down-0.8 pp |
| Draw (X) | 28.8% | 29.4% | 3.40 | trending_up+0.6 pp |
| Athletic Club (2) | 41.4% | 41.6% | 2.40 | trending_flat+0.2 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Valencia 1 - 1 Athletic Club
12.8%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Valencia
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-11
Racing Santander2-2
Real Sociedad2-3
Alavés1-0
Sevilla0-1
Barcelona0-5
Athletic Club
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 6-3
Alavés0-0
Elche1-1
Atlético Madrid3-0
Celta Vigo2-0Barcelona0-2Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Valencia 1 - 1 Athletic Club (12.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 112.8%
- 0 - 111.6%
- 1 - 09.5%
- 0 - 08.6%
- 1 - 28.6%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Athletic ClubNext matches of Valencia
VillarrealElche
Real MadridNext matches of Athletic Club
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Our model gives Valencia win 30%, draw 28%, Athletic Club win 42%. over 2.5 goals 44%. both teams to score 50%. expected goals 1.10 - 1.35. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.