Lens vs Troyes prediction, tips and odds
Latest match: Troyes vs Lens, 2026-10-17, French Ligue 1, kickoff 21:45 Athens time
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes (1) | 25% | 24.2% | 4.14 | trending_down-0.8 pp |
| Draw (X) | 24.3% | 24.8% | 4.03 | trending_up+0.5 pp |
| Lens (2) | 50.7% | 51% | 1.96 | trending_flat+0.3 pp |
Algorithmic Value
Under 3.5 goals
Our probability: 61%.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
Troyes 1 - 1 Lens
10.1%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Corners
Cards (yellow + red)
Bet builder ideas
Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
Troyes
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · goals 4-14
Marseille0-2
Dijon FCO2-2
Angers0-2
Lille0-2
Strasbourg2-6
Lens
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 7-7
Sporting CP0-2
Lyon2-1
Standard Liege2-0
AS Monaco1-2
Le Mans2-2Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: Troyes 1 - 1 Lens (10.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 110.1%
- 1 - 29.7%
- 0 - 18.2%
- 0 - 27.9%
- 1 - 36.2%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by LensNext matches of Troyes
ToulouseLe Mans
Paris Saint-GermainNext matches of Lens
Paris FCLilleMarseilleMore matches on this day
Erzurum BBVSEyupspor
Turkish Super Lig
EvertonVSChelsea
English Premier League
EspanyolVSAtlético Madrid
Spanish LALIGA
Amed SFKVSKonyaspor
Turkish Super Lig
GenclerbirligiVSGalatasaray
Turkish Super Lig
VeneziaVSNapoli
Italian Serie A
1. FC Union BerlinVSBorussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
Schalke 04VSMainz
German Bundesliga
SV ElversbergVSFC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
Werder BremenVSSC Paderborn 07
German Bundesliga
AberdeenVSSt Mirren
Scottish Premiership
BrentfordVSLiverpool
English Premier League
FulhamVSHull City
English Premier League
HibernianVSFalkirk
Scottish Premiership
KilmarnockVSMotherwell
Scottish Premiership
LevadiakosVSVolos NFC
Greek Super League
Manchester CityVSIpswich Town
English Premier League
St JohnstoneVSDundee United
Scottish Premiership
VillarrealVSElche
Spanish LALIGA
ADO Den HaagVSPSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie- StrasbourgVSParis Saint-GermainFrench Ligue 1
BolognaVSInternazionale
Italian Serie A
FenerbahceVSAlanyaspor
Turkish Super Lig
Real BetisVSBarcelona
Spanish LALIGA
Bayern MunichVSRB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
Newcastle UnitedVSAston Villa
English Premier League
TelstarVSFeyenoord Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
AS RomaVSGenoa
Italian Serie A- LilleVSBrest
French Ligue 1 
DundeeVSRangers
Scottish Premiership
Sparta RotterdamVSWillem II
Dutch Eredivisie
ValenciaVSAthletic Club
Spanish LALIGA
Our model gives Troyes win 24%, draw 23%, Lens win 53%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 61%. expected goals 1.23 - 1.93. largest gap to the market: Lens win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.