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Ipswich Town vs Manchester City prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Manchester City vs Ipswich Town, 2026-10-17, English Premier League, kickoff 17:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE/2026-10-17
stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•14:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
--:--:--
VS14:00 GMT
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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.69

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MODEL OVER 2.5

71%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

53%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

5%25%45%65%85%05:0014:00
1 Manchester CityX2 Ipswich Town
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Manchester City (1)76.5%77.3%1.29trending_up+0.8 pp
Draw (X)14.5%13.6%7.34trending_down-0.9 pp
Ipswich Town (2)9%9.1%11.00trending_flat+0.1 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Manchester City 2 - 0 Ipswich Town

PROBABILITY

10.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Manchester City
79%1.271.24
Draw
13%7.476.50
Ipswich Town
8%12.7810.50
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Manchester City or draw
92%1.08—
Ipswich Town or draw
21%4.71—
Either team wins (no draw)
87%1.15—
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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
88%1.131.09
Under 1.5 goals
12%8.645.70
Over 2.5 goals
71%1.401.35
Under 2.5 goals
29%3.472.95
Over 3.5 goals
50%1.991.90
Under 3.5 goals
50%2.011.90
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
53%1.88—
Not both score (NG)
47%2.14—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER35%
add_circleManchester City
add_circleUnder 3.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.35
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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Manchester City

Manchester City

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 16-7

WWWWL
LHParis Saint-Germain2-4
WALiverpool3-0
WHSunderland5-3
WHNorwich City5-0
WAManchester United1-0
Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 7-10

LWLLW
WHFulham2-1
LAEverton0-1
LHArsenal2-4
WACrystal Palace3-2
LHLiverpool0-2

Head-to-head

2025-01-19
Ipswich Town0 - 6Manchester City
2024-08-24
Manchester City4 - 1Ipswich Town
2002-01-27
Ipswich Town1 - 4Manchester City
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Team comparison

#4 ▼2Power Index 87.1
Power Ranking
#75 ▲1Power Index 57.7
€1.43bn1st in the league
Squad value
€331m18th in the league
Enzo Marescasince 1 Jul 2026 · 11 games · 2.45 pts/game
Head coach
Gary O'Neilsince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.33 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
79%Market 79%
Draw (X)
13%Market 13%
Away win (2)
8%Market 8%
Over 2.5 goals
71%Market 71%
Both teams to score
53%Market: —
Expected goals
2.9 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Manchester City 2 - 0 Ipswich Town (10.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 2 - 010.2%
  2. 3 - 09.8%
  3. 2 - 18.5%
  4. 3 - 18.1%
  5. 1 - 07.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Ipswich Town
Goals scored by Manchester City
01234502.52.10.90.20.00.017.25.92.50.70.10.0210.28.53.51.00.20.039.88.13.30.90.20.047.05.82.40.70.10.054.03.31.40.40.10.0

Next matches of Manchester City

24/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayAston Villa
31/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeBrighton & Hove Albion
7/11/2026 · ENG.1AwayNottingham Forest

Next matches of Ipswich Town

23/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeNottingham Forest
31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayHull City
8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeAFC Bournemouth

More matches on this day

Our model gives Manchester City win 79%, draw 13%, Ipswich Town win 8%. over 2.5 goals 71%. both teams to score 53%. expected goals 2.86 - 0.83. largest gap to the market: Manchester City win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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