Dundee United vs St Johnstone prediction, tips and odds
Next scheduled meeting: Dundee United vs St Johnstone, 28/11/2026, sco.1. Analysis and tips appear 1-2 days before kickoff.
PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS
2.83
MODEL OVER 2.5
54%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
58%
ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY
4
No pick passes our filters for this match.
Odds Telemetry & Market Drift
Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.
| SELECTION | FIRST | LATEST | FAIR ODDS NOW | DRIFT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Johnstone (1) | 35.6% | 33% | 3.03 | trending_down-2.6 pp |
| Draw (X) | 26.6% | 26.9% | 3.72 | trending_flat+0.3 pp |
| Dundee United (2) | 37.8% | 40.1% | 2.50 | trending_up+2.3 pp |
Algorithmic Value
No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.
MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)
St Johnstone 1 - 1 Dundee United
11.8%
Full market board
Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team form & head-to-head
Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.
St Johnstone
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 5-4
Aberdeen1-0
Falkirk1-1
Celtic0-1
Hibernian2-1
Dundee1-1
Dundee United
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 9-4
Hibernian1-0
St Mirren3-0Falkirk1-1
Motherwell0-3
Kilmarnock4-0Head-to-head
Team comparison
Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking
What our model says vs what the market says
Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.
Most likely final scores
Most likely: St Johnstone 1 - 1 Dundee United (11.8%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.
- 1 - 111.8%
- 1 - 28.5%
- 0 - 18.5%
- 2 - 18.2%
- 1 - 08.2%
Every score
Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.
Goals scored by Dundee UnitedNext matches of St Johnstone
RangersMotherwellKilmarnockNext matches of Dundee United
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Our model gives St Johnstone win 36%, draw 26%, Dundee United win 38%. over 2.5 goals 54%. both teams to score 58%. expected goals 1.39 - 1.43. largest gap to the market: St Johnstone win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.