Brentford vs Liverpool prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Brentford vs Liverpool, 2026-10-17, English Premier League, kickoff 17:00 Athens time

stadiumENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE•14:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Brentford

VS14:00 GMT

Liverpool

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.13

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

61%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

63%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 11.5 corners

MODEL PROBABILITY

70%

ODDS

1.42

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 BrentfordX2 Liverpool

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Brentford (1)	39.5%	34.9%	2.86	trending_down-4.6 pp
Draw (X)	26%	26.7%	3.75	trending_up+0.7 pp
Liverpool (2)	34.5%	38.4%	2.60	trending_up+3.9 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK70%

Under 11.5 corners

Expected corners: Brentford 4.6, Liverpool 5.3, total 9.8 (line 11.5).

Corners-for rate vs average: Brentford x0.89, Liverpool x1.12 (sample 25 and 25 equivalent matches).

Odds: 1.42

1X2 / Double chance66%

1X (Brentford or draw)

Our probability: 66%.

Indicative odds: 1.44

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Brentford 1 - 1 Liverpool

PROBABILITY

10.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 9.8Exp. cards 3.9

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Brentford

41%2.462.40

Draw

24%4.123.65

Liverpool

35%2.862.75

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Brentford or draw

65%1.54—

Liverpool or draw

59%1.69—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.32—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

82%1.211.13

Under 1.5 goals

18%5.664.80

Over 2.5 goals

61%1.651.55

Under 2.5 goals

39%2.542.35

Over 3.5 goals

38%2.612.30

Under 3.5 goals

62%1.621.60

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

63%1.59—

Not both score (NG)

37%2.69—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

72%1.40—

Under 7.5 corners

28%3.52—

Over 8.5 corners

61%1.641.32

Under 8.5 corners

39%2.573.00

Over 9.5 corners

50%1.991.55

Under 9.5 corners

50%2.012.25

Over 10.5 corners

40%2.512.02

Under 10.5 corners

60%1.661.70

Over 11.5 corners

31%3.282.55

Under 11.5 corners

69%1.441.42

Over 12.5 corners

23%4.42—

Under 12.5 corners

77%1.29—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

89%1.13—

Under 1.5 cards

11%8.91—

Over 2.5 cards

74%1.36—

Under 2.5 cards

26%3.81—

Over 3.5 cards

54%1.841.63

Under 3.5 cards

46%2.192.15

Over 4.5 cards

35%2.832.40

Under 4.5 cards

65%1.551.48

Over 5.5 cards

21%4.84—

Under 5.5 cards

79%1.26—

Over 6.5 cards

11%8.99—

Under 6.5 cards

89%1.13—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Brentford

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · goals 10-6

DDWWD

DAAston Villa2-2

WHChelsea3-0

WAReading2-1

DAAFC Bournemouth2-2

DHSunderland1-1

Liverpool

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 10-7

DWWLW

WALASK Linz6-3

LHManchester City0-3

WAAFC Bournemouth1-0

WHTottenham Hotspur3-1

DHFulham0-0

Head-to-head

2026-05-24

Liverpool1 - 1Brentford

2025-10-25

Brentford3 - 2Liverpool

2025-01-18

Brentford0 - 2Liverpool

2024-08-25

Liverpool2 - 0Brentford

2024-02-17

Brentford1 - 4Liverpool

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Team comparison

Brentford

VS

Liverpool

#17Power Index 75.6

Power Ranking

#7Power Index 81.9

€585m9th in the league

Squad value

€1.03bn4th in the league

Keith Andrewssince 1 Jul 2025 · 54 games · 1.56 pts/game

Head coach

Andoni Iraolasince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 2.10 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

41%Market 40%

Draw (X)

24%Market 26%

Away win (2)

35%Market 35%

Over 2.5 goals

61%Market 61%

Both teams to score

63%Market: —

Expected goals

1.6 - 1.5

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Brentford 1 - 1 Liverpool (10.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.7%
2. 2 - 18.7%
3. 1 - 28.0%
4. 1 - 07.1%
5. 2 - 26.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Liverpool

Goals scored by Brentford

01234504.46.54.92.50.90.317.110.78.04.01.50.525.88.76.53.31.20.433.24.73.61.80.70.241.31.91.50.70.30.150.40.60.50.20.10.0

Next matches of Brentford

25/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayHull City

31/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeNottingham Forest

8/11/2026 · ENG.1AwayBrighton & Hove Albion

Next matches of Liverpool

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeBrighton & Hove Albion

1/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeArsenal

8/11/2026 · ENG.1AwayCrystal Palace

Our model gives Brentford win 41%, draw 24%, Liverpool win 35%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 63%. expected goals 1.63 - 1.50. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.