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Bologna vs Internazionale prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Bologna vs Internazionale, 2026-10-17, Italian Serie A, kickoff 19:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/ITALIAN SERIE A/2026-10-17
stadiumITALIAN SERIE A•16:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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VS16:00 GMT
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.00

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

58%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

54%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

65%

ODDS

1.47

All Tips
query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

10%24%38%51%65%05:0009:0011:3014:00
1 BolognaX2 Internazionale
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Bologna (1)16.8%16.8%5.95trending_flat+0.0 pp
Draw (X)23.1%22.6%4.43trending_down-0.6 pp
Internazionale (2)60%60.6%1.65trending_up+0.6 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
PRIMARY PICK65%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 65%.

Indicative odds: 1.47
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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Bologna 0 - 2 Internazionale

PROBABILITY

10.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.9Exp. cards 3.3
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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Bologna
17%6.035.50
Draw
21%4.704.00
Internazionale
62%1.611.54
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Bologna or draw
38%2.64—
Internazionale or draw
83%1.20—
Either team wins (no draw)
79%1.27—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
80%1.25—
Under 1.5 goals
20%5.08—
Over 2.5 goals
58%1.741.65
Under 2.5 goals
42%2.362.20
Over 3.5 goals
35%2.84—
Under 3.5 goals
65%1.54—
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
54%1.86—
Not both score (NG)
46%2.17—
flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 7.5 corners
63%1.60—
Under 7.5 corners
37%2.67—
Over 8.5 corners
51%1.96—
Under 8.5 corners
49%2.05—
Over 9.5 corners
40%2.49—
Under 9.5 corners
60%1.67—
Over 10.5 corners
30%3.29—
Under 10.5 corners
70%1.44—
Over 11.5 corners
22%4.52—
Under 11.5 corners
78%1.28—
Over 12.5 corners
16%6.42—
Under 12.5 corners
84%1.18—
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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 cards
83%1.21—
Under 1.5 cards
17%5.80—
Over 2.5 cards
63%1.59—
Under 2.5 cards
37%2.71—
Over 3.5 cards
42%2.41—
Under 3.5 cards
58%1.71—
Over 4.5 cards
24%4.17—
Under 4.5 cards
76%1.32—
Over 5.5 cards
13%7.99—
Under 5.5 cards
87%1.14—
Over 6.5 cards
7%14.29—
Under 6.5 cards
93%1.08—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER42%
add_circleInternazionale
add_circleOver 2.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.17
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Bologna

Bologna

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 5-6

LDLDW
WALecce2-1
DHTorino1-1
LANapoli0-1
DHSassuolo2-2
LAAtalanta0-1
Internazionale

Internazionale

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 15-9

WDWWL
LHClub Brugge3-4
WHParma3-0
WHLumezzane2-0
DAAS Roma2-2
WHUdinese5-3

Head-to-head

2026-05-23
Bologna3 - 3Internazionale
2026-01-04
Internazionale3 - 1Bologna
2025-12-19
Bologna1 - 1Internazionale
2025-04-20
Bologna1 - 0Internazionale
2025-01-15
Internazionale2 - 2Bologna
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Team comparison

#66 ▼1Power Index 59.1
Power Ranking
#12 ▼2Power Index 78.6
€228m10th in the league
Squad value
€738m1st in the league
Raffaele Palladino NEWsince 16 Sep 2026 · 3 games · 1.33 pts/game
Head coach
Cristian Chivusince 9 Jun 2025 · 67 games · 2.10 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
17%Market 16%
Draw (X)
21%Market 22%
Away win (2)
62%Market 62%
Over 2.5 goals
58%Market 58%
Both teams to score
54%Market: —
Expected goals
1.0 - 2.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Bologna 0 - 2 Internazionale (10.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 0 - 210.4%
  2. 0 - 110.2%
  3. 1 - 29.9%
  4. 1 - 19.8%
  5. 0 - 37.1%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Internazionale
Goals scored by Bologna
01234505.010.210.47.13.61.514.89.89.96.83.41.422.34.74.83.21.60.730.71.51.51.00.50.240.20.40.40.20.10.150.00.10.10.00.00.0

Next matches of Bologna

24/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayCagliari
28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayAC Milan
31/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeMonza

Next matches of Internazionale

25/10/2026 · ITA.1HomeFiorentina
28/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayVenezia
31/10/2026 · ITA.1AwayAC Milan

More matches on this day

Our model gives Bologna win 17%, draw 21%, Internazionale win 62%. over 2.5 goals 58%. both teams to score 54%. expected goals 0.96 - 2.04. largest gap to the market: Bologna win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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