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Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen, 2026-10-15, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

MATCH ANALYSIS/UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE/2026-10-15
stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT
scheduleKICKOFF IN:
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FerencvarosHOME

Ferencvaros

VS19:00 GMT

Viktoria Plzen

Viktoria PlzenAWAY
monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.95

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

57%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

58%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

2

model_training
ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

20%29%38%46%55%05:0011:30
1 FerencvarosX2 Viktoria Plzen
SELECTIONFIRSTLATESTFAIR ODDS NOWDRIFT
Ferencvaros (1)48.8%49%2.04trending_flat+0.2 pp
Draw (X)24.4%24.8%4.03trending_up+0.4 pp
Viktoria Plzen (2)26.8%26.2%3.82trending_down-0.6 pp
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Algorithmic Value

FREE
NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Ferencvaros 1 - 1 Viktoria Plzen

PROBABILITY

11.1%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Ferencvaros
49%2.041.95
Draw
24%4.113.90
Viktoria Plzen
27%3.743.55
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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Ferencvaros or draw
73%1.36—
Viktoria Plzen or draw
51%1.96—
Either team wins (no draw)
76%1.32—
sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Over 1.5 goals
80%1.261.16
Under 1.5 goals
20%4.914.30
Over 2.5 goals
57%1.771.65
Under 2.5 goals
43%2.302.25
Over 3.5 goals
34%2.932.45
Under 3.5 goals
66%1.521.50
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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS
Both score (GG)
58%1.71—
Not both score (NG)
42%2.40—
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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER40%
add_circleFerencvaros
add_circleOver 1.5 goals
Indicative odds: 2.19
history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 10-4

LDWWW
WACeltic3-1
WHTrabzonspor4-0
WATrabzonspor1-0
DAGornik Zabrze1-1
LHReal Madrid1-2
Viktoria Plzen

Viktoria Plzen

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 8-10

DLLWL
LHUnion St.-Gilloise0-3
WHRed Star Belgrade5-1
LARed Star Belgrade0-3
LHPanathinaikos1-1
DAPanathinaikos2-2

Head-to-head

2025-09-25
Ferencvaros1 - 1Viktoria Plzen
2025-02-20
Viktoria Plzen3 - 0Ferencvaros
2025-02-13
Ferencvaros1 - 0Viktoria Plzen
analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)
49%Market 50%
Draw (X)
24%Market 24%
Away win (2)
27%Market 26%
Over 2.5 goals
57%Market 57%
Both teams to score
58%Market: —
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Ferencvaros 1 - 1 Viktoria Plzen (11.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

  1. 1 - 111.1%
  2. 2 - 19.5%
  3. 1 - 09.0%
  4. 2 - 07.8%
  5. 1 - 26.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Viktoria Plzen
Goals scored by Ferencvaros
01234505.26.43.91.60.50.119.011.16.82.80.80.227.89.55.82.40.70.234.55.53.41.40.40.141.92.41.50.60.20.050.70.80.50.20.10.0

More matches on this day

Our model gives Ferencvaros win 49%, draw 24%, Viktoria Plzen win 27%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 58%. expected goals 1.73 - 1.22. largest gap to the market: Ferencvaros win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.

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