Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris, 2026-10-15, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Brighton & Hove Albion

VS19:00 GMT

Kauno Zalgiris

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

6.72

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MODEL OVER 2.5

96%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

64%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 Brighton & Hove AlbionX2 Kauno Zalgiris

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Brighton & Hove Albion (1)	93.5%	92.8%	1.08	trending_down-0.8 pp
Draw (X)	4.2%	4.6%	21.93	trending_up+0.4 pp
Kauno Zalgiris (2)	2.3%	2.7%	37.59	trending_flat+0.3 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Brighton & Hove Albion 5 - 1 Kauno Zalgiris

PROBABILITY

6.2%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Brighton & Hove Albion

95%1.051.02

Draw

3%33.1423.00

Kauno Zalgiris

2%64.1541.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Brighton & Hove Albion or draw

98%1.02—

Kauno Zalgiris or draw

5%21.85—

Either team wins (no draw)

97%1.03—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

99%1.01—

Under 1.5 goals

1%106.91—

Over 2.5 goals

96%1.04—

Under 2.5 goals

4%26.60—

Over 3.5 goals

90%1.11—

Under 3.5 goals

10%9.96—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

64%1.55—

Not both score (NG)

36%2.81—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 14-3

DWWWW

WASunderland2-0

WHArsenal3-0

WAManchester United3-2

WACoventry City5-0

DHLeeds United1-1

Kauno Zalgiris

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · goals 3-10

WLLLW

WHBesiktas1-0

LABesiktas0-3

LHDinamo Zagreb1-2

LADinamo Zagreb0-5

WHKI Klaksvik1-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

Brighton & Hove Albion

VS

Kauno Zalgiris

#8Power Index 80.4

Power Ranking

—

€604m8th in the league

Squad value

—

Fabian Hürzelersince 1 Jul 2024 · 99 games · 1.66 pts/game

Head coach

—

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

95%Market 97%

Draw (X)

3%Market 2%

Away win (2)

2%Market 1%

Over 2.5 goals

96%Market: —

Both teams to score

64%Market: —

Expected goals

5.7 - 1.0

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Brighton & Hove Albion 5 - 1 Kauno Zalgiris (6.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 5 - 16.2%
2. 5 - 06.0%
3. 4 - 15.4%
4. 4 - 05.2%
5. 3 - 13.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Kauno Zalgiris

Goals scored by Brighton & Hove Albion

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Next matches of Brighton & Hove Albion

25/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayLiverpool

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayManchester City

8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeBrentford

Our model gives Brighton & Hove Albion win 95%, draw 3%, Kauno Zalgiris win 2%. over 2.5 goals 96%. both teams to score 64%. expected goals 5.69 - 1.04. largest gap to the market: Brighton & Hove Albion win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.