Marseille vs Olympiacos prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Marseille vs Olympiacos, 2026-10-15, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Marseille

VS19:00 GMT

Olympiacos

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.77

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

52%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

56%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.45

All Tips

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 MarseilleX2 Olympiacos

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Marseille (1)	40.5%	39.8%	2.51	trending_down-0.7 pp
Draw (X)	26.8%	27.3%	3.67	trending_up+0.5 pp
Olympiacos (2)	32.8%	32.9%	3.04	trending_flat+0.2 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 68%.

Odds: 1.45

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Marseille 1 - 1 Olympiacos

PROBABILITY

12.0%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 8.5Exp. cards 4.3

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Marseille

41%2.422.35

Draw

26%3.843.55

Olympiacos

33%3.062.90

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Marseille or draw

67%1.48—

Olympiacos or draw

59%1.70—

Either team wins (no draw)

74%1.35—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

77%1.301.23

Under 1.5 goals

23%4.283.75

Over 2.5 goals

52%1.921.80

Under 2.5 goals

48%2.092.00

Over 3.5 goals

30%3.332.75

Under 3.5 goals

70%1.431.40

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

56%1.78—

Not both score (NG)

44%2.29—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

58%1.741.39

Under 7.5 corners

42%2.352.77

Over 8.5 corners

46%2.181.73

Under 8.5 corners

54%1.851.99

Over 9.5 corners

35%2.842.23

Under 9.5 corners

65%1.541.58

Over 10.5 corners

26%3.863.05

Under 10.5 corners

74%1.351.33

Over 11.5 corners

18%5.43—

Under 11.5 corners

82%1.23—

Over 12.5 corners

13%7.93—

Under 12.5 corners

87%1.14—

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

91%1.09—

Under 1.5 cards

9%11.67—

Over 2.5 cards

79%1.26—

Under 2.5 cards

21%4.80—

Over 3.5 cards

62%1.621.65

Under 3.5 cards

38%2.612.10

Over 4.5 cards

43%2.332.52

Under 4.5 cards

57%1.751.46

Over 5.5 cards

27%3.74—

Under 5.5 cards

73%1.37—

Over 6.5 cards

15%6.54—

Under 6.5 cards

85%1.18—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Marseille

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 4-8

LLLLW

WATroyes2-0

LAMontpellier0-1

LHParis Saint-Germain1-2

LABesiktas1-4

LAStade Rennais0-1

Olympiacos

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 5-3

DLWWW

WHPanathinaikos1-0

WALevadiakos1-0

WHJagiellonia Bialystok2-1

LHOFI Crete0-1

DAVolos NFC1-1

Head-to-head

2020-12-01

Marseille2 - 1Olympiacos

2020-10-21

Olympiacos1 - 0Marseille

2011-11-23

Marseille0 - 1Olympiacos

2011-09-13

Olympiacos0 - 1Marseille

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Team comparison

Marseille

VS

Olympiacos

#38 ▼1Power Index 67.0

Power Ranking

#60 ▲6Power Index 60.2

€189m9th in the league

Squad value

€186m1st in the league

Bruno Genesiosince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.00 pts/game

Head coach

Imanol Alguacil NEWsince 10 Sep 2026 · 6 games · 2.50 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

41%Market 41%

Draw (X)

26%Market 26%

Away win (2)

33%Market 33%

Over 2.5 goals

52%Market 53%

Both teams to score

56%Market: —

Expected goals

1.5 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Marseille 1 - 1 Olympiacos (12.0%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 112.0%
2. 1 - 09.3%
3. 2 - 18.9%
4. 0 - 18.1%
5. 1 - 27.7%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Olympiacos

Goals scored by Marseille

01234506.38.15.22.20.70.219.312.07.73.31.10.326.98.95.72.40.80.233.44.42.81.20.40.141.31.61.00.40.10.050.40.50.30.10.00.0

Next matches of Marseille

25/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeLe Havre AC

1/11/2026 · FRA.1HomeToulouse

8/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayLens

Next matches of Olympiacos

22/10/2026 · UEFA.EUROPAHomeSparta Prague

25/10/2026 · GRE.1HomeKalamata

28/10/2026 · GRE.CUPAwayMarko

Our model gives Marseille win 41%, draw 26%, Olympiacos win 33%. over 2.5 goals 52%. both teams to score 56%. expected goals 1.48 - 1.29. largest gap to the market: Marseille win (0 points). Estimates, not guarantees.