FC Nordsjælland vs Heart of Midlothian prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Heart of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjælland, 2026-10-15, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

Heart of Midlothian

VS19:00 GMT

FC Nordsjælland

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.95

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

56%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

60%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Heart of Midlothian 1 - 1 FC Nordsjælland

PROBABILITY

11.4%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Heart of Midlothian

33%2.992.95

Draw

25%3.983.80

FC Nordsjælland

41%2.422.25

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Heart of Midlothian or draw

59%1.71—

FC Nordsjælland or draw

67%1.50—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.34—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

80%1.26—

Under 1.5 goals

20%4.91—

Over 2.5 goals

56%1.77—

Under 2.5 goals

44%2.30—

Over 3.5 goals

34%2.93—

Under 3.5 goals

66%1.52—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

60%1.68—

Not both score (NG)

40%2.47—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Heart of Midlothian

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 12-4

WWLDW

WHSt Mirren5-0

DAKilmarnock1-1

LAFalkirk1-2

WAStenhousemuir3-0

WHDundee2-1

FC Nordsjælland

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · goals 5-9

DWLLD

DHOdense Boldklub0-0

LAMalmö FF0-3

LAViborg FF1-4

WHAGF2-0

DAFC Midtjylland2-2

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

Heart of Midlothian

VS

FC Nordsjælland

#114 ▼15Power Index 50.6

Power Ranking

—

€25m3rd in the league

Squad value

—

Wouter Vranckensince 1 Jul 2026 · 18 games · 1.56 pts/game

Head coach

—

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

33%Market 32%

Draw (X)

25%Market 25%

Away win (2)

41%Market 43%

Over 2.5 goals

56%Market: —

Both teams to score

60%Market: —

Expected goals

1.4 - 1.6

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Heart of Midlothian 1 - 1 FC Nordsjælland (11.4%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.4%
2. 1 - 28.9%
3. 0 - 18.2%
4. 2 - 17.9%
5. 1 - 07.3%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by FC Nordsjælland

Goals scored by Heart of Midlothian

01234505.28.26.43.31.30.417.311.48.94.61.80.625.07.96.13.21.30.432.33.62.81.50.60.240.81.31.00.50.20.150.20.30.30.10.10.0

Next matches of Heart of Midlothian

25/10/2026 · SCO.1AwayMotherwell

28/10/2026 · SCO.1HomeRangers

5/11/2026 · UEFA.EUROPA.CONFAwayFC Thun

Our model gives Heart of Midlothian win 33%, draw 25%, FC Nordsjælland win 41%. over 2.5 goals 56%. both teams to score 60%. expected goals 1.38 - 1.56. largest gap to the market: FC Nordsjælland win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.