Crystal Palace vs Lyon prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: Lyon vs Crystal Palace, 2026-10-15, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time

stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•16:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

--:--:--

HOME

Lyon

VS16:45 GMT

Crystal Palace

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.99

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

57%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

60%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

5

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 LyonX2 Crystal Palace

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
Lyon (1)	41.3%	36.2%	2.77	trending_down-5.1 pp
Draw (X)	26%	26.3%	3.81	trending_flat+0.3 pp
Crystal Palace (2)	32.7%	37.6%	2.66	trending_up+4.9 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

Lyon 1 - 1 Crystal Palace

PROBABILITY

11.2%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.0Exp. cards 3.7

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lyon

42%2.362.30

Draw

25%4.023.65

Crystal Palace

33%3.052.90

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Lyon or draw

67%1.49—

Crystal Palace or draw

58%1.73—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

80%1.251.15

Under 1.5 goals

20%5.074.40

Over 2.5 goals

57%1.741.62

Under 2.5 goals

43%2.352.30

Over 3.5 goals

35%2.852.40

Under 3.5 goals

65%1.541.55

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

60%1.66—

Not both score (NG)

40%2.52—

flag

Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

73%1.371.30

Under 7.5 corners

27%3.733.40

Over 8.5 corners

63%1.591.53

Under 8.5 corners

37%2.702.37

Over 9.5 corners

52%1.921.83

Under 9.5 corners

48%2.091.83

Over 10.5 corners

42%2.402.50

Under 10.5 corners

58%1.721.50

Over 11.5 corners

32%3.103.40

Under 11.5 corners

68%1.481.30

Over 12.5 corners

24%4.154.50

Under 12.5 corners

76%1.321.18

style

Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

87%1.15—

Under 1.5 cards

13%7.80—

Over 2.5 cards

71%1.411.33

Under 2.5 cards

29%3.413.05

Over 3.5 cards

50%1.981.80

Under 3.5 cards

50%2.021.90

Over 4.5 cards

32%3.15—

Under 4.5 cards

68%1.46—

Over 5.5 cards

18%5.59—

Under 5.5 cards

82%1.22—

Over 6.5 cards

9%10.66—

Under 6.5 cards

91%1.10—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

Lyon

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 10-4

WDWWL

LALens1-2

WHStade Rennais4-0

WAAnderlecht2-1

DAParis FC0-0

WHAJ Auxerre3-1

Crystal Palace

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-6

LWDLW

WHNottingham Forest3-1

LHBristol City0-2

DALeeds United0-0

WHLech Poznan4-0

LHIpswich Town2-3

Head-to-head

2023-08-05

Crystal Palace2 - 0Lyon

compare_arrows

Team comparison

Lyon

VS

Crystal Palace

#39 ▼1Power Index 66.6

Power Ranking

#28 ▼3Power Index 69.1

€264m4th in the league

Squad value

€579m10th in the league

Paulo Fonsecasince 31 Jan 2025 · 80 games · 1.86 pts/game

Head coach

Pierre Sagesince 1 Jul 2026 · 10 games · 1.30 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

42%Market 42%

Draw (X)

25%Market 26%

Away win (2)

33%Market 33%

Over 2.5 goals

57%Market 59%

Both teams to score

60%Market: —

Expected goals

1.6 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: Lyon 1 - 1 Crystal Palace (11.2%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.2%
2. 2 - 19.0%
3. 1 - 08.1%
4. 1 - 27.8%
5. 0 - 17.0%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Crystal Palace

Goals scored by Lyon

01234505.07.04.82.20.80.218.111.27.83.61.20.326.59.06.22.91.00.333.54.83.31.50.50.141.41.91.30.60.20.150.40.60.40.20.10.0

Next matches of Lyon

25/10/2026 · FRA.1AwayParis Saint-Germain

31/10/2026 · FRA.1HomeAngers

8/11/2026 · FRA.1AwayBrest

Next matches of Crystal Palace

25/10/2026 · ENG.1HomeNewcastle United

31/10/2026 · ENG.1AwayTottenham Hotspur

8/11/2026 · ENG.1HomeLiverpool

Our model gives Lyon win 42%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace win 33%. over 2.5 goals 57%. both teams to score 60%. expected goals 1.60 - 1.39. largest gap to the market: draw (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.