Jablonec vs SC Freiburg prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: SC Freiburg vs Jablonec, 2026-10-15, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

SC Freiburg

VS19:00 GMT

Jablonec

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.47

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

67%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

53%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

5

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 SC FreiburgX2 Jablonec

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
SC Freiburg (1)	76.6%	79%	1.27	trending_up+2.4 pp
Draw (X)	14.7%	13.7%	7.32	trending_down-1.1 pp
Jablonec (2)	8.7%	7.4%	13.59	trending_down-1.3 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

SC Freiburg 2 - 0 Jablonec

PROBABILITY

10.9%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

SC Freiburg

76%1.321.25

Draw

15%6.596.50

Jablonec

9%10.8611.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

SC Freiburg or draw

91%1.10—

Jablonec or draw

24%4.10—

Either team wins (no draw)

85%1.18—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

86%1.16—

Under 1.5 goals

14%7.27—

Over 2.5 goals

67%1.49—

Under 2.5 goals

33%3.06—

Over 3.5 goals

46%2.19—

Under 3.5 goals

54%1.84—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

53%1.90—

Not both score (NG)

47%2.11—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

SC Freiburg

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 14-5

WWDWW

WHSchalke 042-1

WHFC Luzern4-2

DAEintracht Frankfurt2-2

WHBorussia Mönchengladbach5-0

WASC Paderborn 071-0

Jablonec

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 7-2

WWWLW

WHRangers1-0

LARangers0-1

WARigas Futbola Skola2-1

WHRigas Futbola Skola2-0

WHVarteks2-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

SC Freiburg

VS

Jablonec

#49 ▲1Power Index 63.0

Power Ranking

—

€244m8th in the league

Squad value

—

Julian Schustersince 1 Jul 2024 · 101 games · 1.72 pts/game

Head coach

—

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

76%Market 79% -3

Draw (X)

15%Market 14%

Away win (2)

9%Market 8%

Over 2.5 goals

67%Market: —

Both teams to score

53%Market: —

Expected goals

2.6 - 0.8

Most likely final scores

Most likely: SC Freiburg 2 - 0 Jablonec (10.9%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 010.9%
2. 3 - 09.5%
3. 2 - 19.0%
4. 1 - 08.2%
5. 3 - 17.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Jablonec

Goals scored by SC Freiburg

01234503.12.61.10.30.10.018.26.82.80.80.20.0210.99.03.71.00.20.039.57.93.30.90.20.046.35.22.20.60.10.053.32.71.10.30.10.0

Next matches of SC Freiburg

25/10/2026 · GER.1HomeBayern Munich

31/10/2026 · GER.1AwayFC Augsburg

8/11/2026 · GER.1Home1. FC Union Berlin

Our model gives SC Freiburg win 76%, draw 15%, Jablonec win 9%. over 2.5 goals 67%. both teams to score 53%. expected goals 2.63 - 0.83. largest gap to the market: SC Freiburg win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.