AGF vs KAA Gent prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: KAA Gent vs AGF, 2026-10-15, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time

stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•16:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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KAA Gent

VS16:45 GMT

AGF

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.73

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

51%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

51%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 KAA GentX2 AGF

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
KAA Gent (1)	57.6%	58.6%	1.71	trending_up+1.1 pp
Draw (X)	22.9%	23.2%	4.30	trending_flat+0.4 pp
AGF (2)	19.6%	18.1%	5.51	trending_down-1.4 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

KAA Gent 1 - 0 AGF

PROBABILITY

11.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

KAA Gent

57%1.751.67

Draw

24%4.214.20

AGF

19%5.194.90

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

KAA Gent or draw

81%1.24—

AGF or draw

43%2.33—

Either team wins (no draw)

76%1.31—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

76%1.321.25

Under 1.5 goals

24%4.173.65

Over 2.5 goals

51%1.951.85

Under 2.5 goals

49%2.061.95

Over 3.5 goals

29%3.422.85

Under 3.5 goals

71%1.411.35

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

51%1.96—

Not both score (NG)

49%2.05—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER46%

add_circleKAA Gent

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.98

BUILDER38%

add_circleKAA Gent

add_circleUnder 3.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.25

BUILDER35%

add_circleKAA Gent

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.56

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

KAA Gent

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · goals 9-2

WWDWW

WAZulte-Waregem2-0

WHStandard Liege2-1

DARacing Genk1-1

WACercle Brugge KSV3-0

WHOud-Heverlee Leuven1-0

AGF

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · goals 9-7

DLDWW

WHSønderjyske Fodbold3-0

WHVendsyssel2-1

DAAC Horsens2-2

LAFC Nordsjælland0-2

DHSilkeborg IF2-2

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

KAA Gent

VS

AGF

#130 ▲9Power Index 48.3

Power Ranking

—

€57m6th in the league

Squad value

—

Rik De Milsince 10 Dec 2025 · 41 games · 1.66 pts/game

Head coach

—

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

57%Market 59%

Draw (X)

24%Market 22%

Away win (2)

19%Market 19%

Over 2.5 goals

51%Market 52%

Both teams to score

51%Market: —

Expected goals

1.8 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: KAA Gent 1 - 0 AGF (11.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 011.7%
2. 1 - 111.0%
3. 2 - 010.4%
4. 2 - 19.8%
5. 0 - 06.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by AGF

Goals scored by KAA Gent

01234506.56.12.90.90.20.0111.711.05.21.60.40.1210.49.84.61.50.30.136.25.92.80.90.20.042.82.61.20.40.10.051.00.90.40.10.00.0

Next matches of KAA Gent

25/10/2026 · BEL.1HomeAnderlecht

1/11/2026 · BEL.1AwayLommel SK

8/11/2026 · BEL.1HomeKV Kortrijk

Our model gives KAA Gent win 57%, draw 24%, AGF win 19%. over 2.5 goals 51%. both teams to score 51%. expected goals 1.79 - 0.94. largest gap to the market: KAA Gent win (2 points). Estimates, not guarantees.