NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia, 2026-10-15, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 19:45 Athens time

stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•16:45 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

--:--:--

HOME

NK Celje

VS16:45 GMT

Omonia Nicosia

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.70

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

51%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

55%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 NK CeljeX2 Omonia Nicosia

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
NK Celje (1)	34.9%	30.3%	3.30	trending_down-4.6 pp
Draw (X)	27.4%	27.3%	3.67	trending_flat-0.2 pp
Omonia Nicosia (2)	37.7%	42.4%	2.36	trending_up+4.8 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

NK Celje 1 - 1 Omonia Nicosia

PROBABILITY

12.3%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

NK Celje

36%2.772.75

Draw

27%3.763.50

Omonia Nicosia

37%2.682.55

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

NK Celje or draw

63%1.59—

Omonia Nicosia or draw

64%1.57—

Either team wins (no draw)

73%1.36—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

75%1.331.25

Under 1.5 goals

25%4.073.55

Over 2.5 goals

51%1.981.87

Under 2.5 goals

49%2.021.93

Over 3.5 goals

29%3.512.90

Under 3.5 goals

71%1.401.35

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

55%1.81—

Not both score (NG)

45%2.23—

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

NK Celje

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 5-7

LWDLL

LABayer Leverkusen0-2

LHSlovan Bratislava1-2

DASlovan Bratislava1-1

WHArarat-Armenia2-0

LAArarat-Armenia1-2

Omonia Nicosia

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 7-4

DWLWW

WHCelta Vigo1-0

WHSint-Truidense4-2

LASint-Truidense0-1

WHLincoln Red Imps1-0

DALincoln Red Imps1-1

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

36%Market 35%

Draw (X)

27%Market 27%

Away win (2)

37%Market 38%

Over 2.5 goals

51%Market 51%

Both teams to score

55%Market: —

Expected goals

1.3 - 1.4

Most likely final scores

Most likely: NK Celje 1 - 1 Omonia Nicosia (12.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 112.3%
2. 0 - 19.2%
3. 1 - 09.0%
4. 1 - 28.3%
5. 2 - 18.2%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Omonia Nicosia

Goals scored by NK Celje

01234506.79.26.22.81.00.319.012.38.33.81.30.326.08.25.62.50.90.232.73.62.51.10.40.140.91.20.80.40.10.050.20.30.20.10.00.0

Our model gives NK Celje win 36%, draw 27%, Omonia Nicosia win 37%. over 2.5 goals 51%. both teams to score 55%. expected goals 1.34 - 1.36. largest gap to the market: NK Celje win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.