Besiktas vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: TSG Hoffenheim vs Besiktas, 2026-10-15, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

TSG Hoffenheim

VS19:00 GMT

Besiktas

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.17

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

61%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

62%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

3

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 TSG HoffenheimX2 Besiktas

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
TSG Hoffenheim (1)	48.7%	49.1%	2.04	trending_up+0.4 pp
Draw (X)	23.8%	24.3%	4.12	trending_up+0.5 pp
Besiktas (2)	27.6%	26.6%	3.76	trending_down-0.9 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Besiktas

PROBABILITY

10.3%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.4Exp. cards 4.3

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

TSG Hoffenheim

49%2.041.95

Draw

23%4.274.00

Besiktas

28%3.623.45

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

TSG Hoffenheim or draw

72%1.38—

Besiktas or draw

51%1.96—

Either team wins (no draw)

77%1.31—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

83%1.211.15

Under 1.5 goals

17%5.814.40

Over 2.5 goals

61%1.631.52

Under 2.5 goals

39%2.592.45

Over 3.5 goals

39%2.562.25

Under 3.5 goals

61%1.641.65

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

62%1.61—

Not both score (NG)

38%2.65—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

76%1.31—

Under 7.5 corners

24%4.24—

Over 8.5 corners

67%1.501.35

Under 8.5 corners

33%3.012.95

Over 9.5 corners

56%1.781.61

Under 9.5 corners

44%2.292.17

Over 10.5 corners

46%2.182.07

Under 10.5 corners

54%1.851.67

Over 11.5 corners

36%2.772.70

Under 11.5 corners

64%1.571.41

Over 12.5 corners

28%3.64—

Under 12.5 corners

73%1.38—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

91%1.09—

Under 1.5 cards

9%11.62—

Over 2.5 cards

79%1.26—

Under 2.5 cards

21%4.78—

Over 3.5 cards

62%1.631.36

Under 3.5 cards

38%2.602.90

Over 4.5 cards

43%2.341.85

Under 4.5 cards

57%1.751.85

Over 5.5 cards

27%3.75—

Under 5.5 cards

73%1.36—

Over 6.5 cards

15%6.57—

Under 6.5 cards

85%1.18—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER42%

add_circleTSG Hoffenheim

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.19

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

TSG Hoffenheim

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · goals 7-12

WLLLL

LHHamburg SV2-3

LHSV Elversberg2-3

LASC Paderborn 071-3

LAOFI Crete0-2

WHVfB Stuttgart2-1

Besiktas

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · goals 13-6

WWWLW

WHKocaelispor2-1

LAAmed SFK2-3

WHMarseille4-1

WHErzurum BB3-0

WAFenerbahce2-1

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

TSG Hoffenheim

VS

Besiktas

#78 ▼3Power Index 56.7

Power Ranking

#109 ▲1Power Index 51.4

€288m6th in the league

Squad value

€274m2nd in the league

Christian Ilzersince 15 Nov 2024 · 74 games · 1.35 pts/game

Head coach

Vincenzo Italianosince 6 Jun 2026 · 15 games · 2.40 pts/game

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

49%Market 50%

Draw (X)

23%Market 23%

Away win (2)

28%Market 27%

Over 2.5 goals

61%Market 63%

Both teams to score

62%Market: —

Expected goals

1.8 - 1.3

Most likely final scores

Most likely: TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Besiktas (10.3%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 110.3%
2. 2 - 19.4%
3. 1 - 07.7%
4. 2 - 07.1%
5. 1 - 26.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Besiktas

Goals scored by TSG Hoffenheim

01234504.25.63.71.70.60.117.710.36.93.01.00.327.19.46.32.80.90.234.35.83.91.70.60.242.02.71.80.80.30.150.71.00.60.30.10.0

Next matches of TSG Hoffenheim

25/10/2026 · GER.1HomeBayer Leverkusen

31/10/2026 · GER.1AwayWerder Bremen

8/11/2026 · GER.1HomeSchalke 04

Next matches of Besiktas

26/10/2026 · TUR.1HomeIstanbul Basaksehir

1/11/2026 · TUR.1AwayKasimpasa

8/11/2026 · TUR.1HomeGenclerbirligi

Our model gives TSG Hoffenheim win 49%, draw 23%, Besiktas win 28%. over 2.5 goals 61%. both teams to score 62%. expected goals 1.84 - 1.33. largest gap to the market: TSG Hoffenheim win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.