FC Thun vs FC Twente prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: FC Twente vs FC Thun, 2026-10-15, UEFA Conference League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

FC Twente

VS19:00 GMT

FC Thun

AWAY

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PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.85

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MODEL OVER 2.5

74%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

57%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

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ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 FC TwenteX2 FC Thun

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
FC Twente (1)	77.9%	80%	1.25	trending_up+2.1 pp
Draw (X)	13.5%	12%	8.33	trending_down-1.5 pp
FC Thun (2)	8.6%	8%	12.50	trending_down-0.6 pp

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

FC Twente 2 - 0 FC Thun

PROBABILITY

9.1%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Twente

78%1.291.21

Draw

14%7.377.00

FC Thun

9%11.4211.00

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Twente or draw

91%1.10—

FC Thun or draw

22%4.48—

Either team wins (no draw)

86%1.16—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

90%1.11—

Under 1.5 goals

10%9.84—

Over 2.5 goals

74%1.35—

Under 2.5 goals

26%3.83—

Over 3.5 goals

54%1.86—

Under 3.5 goals

46%2.16—

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

57%1.74—

Not both score (NG)

43%2.35—

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Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Twente

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · goals 9-5

DWWWD

DAFortuna Sittard1-1

WHPSV Eindhoven3-2

WHADO Den Haag2-0

WHTelstar1-0

DAFC Groningen2-2

FC Thun

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 9-12

WLLDW

WHKriens2-0

DHLech Poznan2-2

LALech Poznan0-7

LAVikingur Reykjavik2-3

WHVikingur Reykjavik3-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

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Team comparison

FC Twente

VS

FC Thun

#84 ▼2Power Index 55.1

Power Ranking

—

€101m5th in the league

Squad value

—

John van den Bromsince 15 Sep 2025 · 49 games · 1.86 pts/game

Head coach

—

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

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What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

78%Market 81% -3

Draw (X)

14%Market 12%

Away win (2)

9%Market 7%

Over 2.5 goals

74%Market: —

Both teams to score

57%Market: —

Expected goals

2.9 - 0.9

Most likely final scores

Most likely: FC Twente 2 - 0 FC Thun (9.1%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 09.1%
2. 3 - 08.9%
3. 2 - 18.4%
4. 3 - 18.2%
5. 4 - 06.5%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by FC Thun

Goals scored by FC Twente

01234502.12.00.90.30.10.016.25.82.70.80.20.029.18.43.91.20.30.138.98.23.81.20.30.146.56.02.80.90.20.053.83.51.60.50.10.0

Next matches of FC Twente

25/10/2026 · NED.1AwayAZ Alkmaar

1/11/2026 · NED.1AwayExcelsior

8/11/2026 · NED.1HomeAjax Amsterdam

Our model gives FC Twente win 78%, draw 14%, FC Thun win 9%. over 2.5 goals 74%. both teams to score 57%. expected goals 2.92 - 0.93. largest gap to the market: FC Twente win (3 points). Estimates, not guarantees.