Levski Sofia vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, tips and odds

Latest match: NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia, 2026-10-15, UEFA Europa League, kickoff 22:00 Athens time

stadiumUEFA EUROPA LEAGUE•19:00 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

--:--:--

HOME

NEC Nijmegen

VS19:00 GMT

Levski Sofia

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

2.77

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

52%

sync_alt

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

54%

query_stats

ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

4

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

Under 3.5 goals

MODEL PROBABILITY

68%

ODDS

1.43

All Tips

query_stats

Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

1 NEC NijmegenX2 Levski Sofia

SELECTION	FIRST	LATEST	FAIR ODDS NOW	DRIFT
NEC Nijmegen (1)	50.9%	50.2%	1.99	trending_down-0.7 pp
Draw (X)	24.7%	25.9%	3.86	trending_up+1.2 pp
Levski Sofia (2)	24.4%	23.9%	4.18	trending_down-0.5 pp

token

Algorithmic Value

FREE

PRIMARY PICK68%

Under 3.5 goals

Our probability: 68%.

Odds: 1.43

scatter_plot

MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 Levski Sofia

PROBABILITY

11.5%

table_chart

Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

swords

Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

NEC Nijmegen

51%1.971.87

Draw

25%4.023.85

Levski Sofia

24%4.123.90

shield

Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

NEC Nijmegen or draw

76%1.32—

Levski Sofia or draw

49%2.04—

Either team wins (no draw)

75%1.33—

sports_soccer

Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

77%1.301.23

Under 1.5 goals

23%4.313.70

Over 2.5 goals

52%1.911.80

Under 2.5 goals

48%2.102.00

Over 3.5 goals

30%3.312.75

Under 3.5 goals

70%1.431.40

sync_alt

Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

54%1.84—

Not both score (NG)

46%2.19—

layers

Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER41%

add_circleNEC Nijmegen

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.21

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · goals 4-12

DLLDD

DAAjax Amsterdam1-1

DHGo Ahead Eagles1-1

LAJuventus0-5

LASC Cambuur0-3

DHExcelsior2-2

Levski Sofia

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · goals 2-5

WWDLL

LHRB Salzburg0-1

LAAEK Athens0-4

DHAEK Athens0-0

WAKairat Almaty1-0

WHKairat Almaty1-0

Head-to-head

No recent meetings in the feed.

compare_arrows

Team comparison

NEC Nijmegen

VS

Levski Sofia

#136 ▼9Power Index 47.9

Power Ranking

—

€57m8th in the league

Squad value

—

Dick Schreudersince 1 Jul 2025 · 55 games · 1.62 pts/game

Head coach

—

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

51%Market 52%

Draw (X)

25%Market 24%

Away win (2)

24%Market 24%

Over 2.5 goals

52%Market 53%

Both teams to score

54%Market: —

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.1

Most likely final scores

Most likely: NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 Levski Sofia (11.5%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 1 - 111.5%
2. 1 - 010.5%
3. 2 - 19.6%
4. 2 - 08.8%
5. 0 - 16.8%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by Levski Sofia

Goals scored by NEC Nijmegen

01234506.26.83.71.40.40.1110.511.56.32.30.60.128.89.65.31.90.50.135.05.43.01.10.30.142.12.31.20.50.10.050.70.80.40.20.00.0

Next matches of NEC Nijmegen

25/10/2026 · NED.1HomeFC Groningen

31/10/2026 · NED.1AwayHeerenveen

8/11/2026 · NED.1AwayFC Utrecht

Our model gives NEC Nijmegen win 51%, draw 25%, Levski Sofia win 24%. over 2.5 goals 52%. both teams to score 54%. expected goals 1.68 - 1.09. largest gap to the market: NEC Nijmegen win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.