FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction, tips and odds

Next match: FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle, 2026-10-24, Dutch Eredivisie, kickoff 17:30 Athens time

stadiumDUTCH EREDIVISIE•14:30 GMT

scheduleKICKOFF IN:

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HOME

FC Utrecht

VS14:30 GMT

PEC Zwolle

AWAY

monitoring

PROJECTED TOTAL GOALS

3.34

sports_soccer

MODEL OVER 2.5

65%

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BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

62%

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ODDS SNAPSHOTS TODAY

0

model_training

ALGORITHMIC PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match.

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Odds Telemetry & Market Drift

Market implied probability for 1X2 across today's odds snapshots.

Market drift appears after the second odds snapshot of the day.

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Algorithmic Value

FREE

NO PICK

No pick passes our filters for this match. We publish a pick only when the odds and the model probability clear our thresholds.

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MOST LIKELY SCORE (POISSON)

FC Utrecht 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle

PROBABILITY

9.7%

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Full market board

Model probability for every market. Fair = 1 / model probability. Odds appear only where a real price was found; “—” means no price available, not a recommendation.

Exp. corners 10.1Exp. cards 2.9

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Match result (1X2)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Utrecht

59%1.711.67

Draw

21%4.764.20

PEC Zwolle

20%4.884.40

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Double chance

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

FC Utrecht or draw

80%1.26—

PEC Zwolle or draw

42%2.41—

Either team wins (no draw)

79%1.27—

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Total goals

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 goals

85%1.181.14

Under 1.5 goals

15%6.614.70

Over 2.5 goals

65%1.541.47

Under 2.5 goals

35%2.842.50

Over 3.5 goals

43%2.342.18

Under 3.5 goals

57%1.751.65

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Both teams to score

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Both score (GG)

62%1.61—

Not both score (NG)

38%2.63—

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Corners

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 7.5 corners

74%1.36—

Under 7.5 corners

26%3.81—

Over 8.5 corners

64%1.57—

Under 8.5 corners

36%2.74—

Over 9.5 corners

53%1.89—

Under 9.5 corners

47%2.12—

Over 10.5 corners

42%2.36—

Under 10.5 corners

58%1.74—

Over 11.5 corners

33%3.04—

Under 11.5 corners

67%1.49—

Over 12.5 corners

25%4.06—

Under 12.5 corners

75%1.33—

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Cards (yellow + red)

SELECTIONMODELFAIRODDS

Over 1.5 cards

78%1.28—

Under 1.5 cards

22%4.58—

Over 2.5 cards

56%1.79—

Under 2.5 cards

44%2.27—

Over 3.5 cards

34%2.92—

Under 3.5 cards

66%1.52—

Over 4.5 cards

18%5.46—

Under 4.5 cards

82%1.22—

Over 5.5 cards

9%11.13—

Under 5.5 cards

91%1.10—

Over 6.5 cards

7%14.29—

Under 6.5 cards

93%1.08—

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Bet builder ideas

Two legs of the same match. Joint probability from the model score grid. Odds are indicative, not a bookmaker quote.

BUILDER51%

add_circleFC Utrecht

add_circleOver 1.5 goals

Indicative odds: 1.84

BUILDER43%

add_circleFC Utrecht

add_circleOver 2.5 goals

Indicative odds: 2.16

history

Team form & head-to-head

Last five results from the official feed. Form is context, the model probabilities above already account for team strength.

FC Utrecht

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · goals 10-11

DWLWW

WAFC Twente2-1

WHWillem II3-1

LAFeyenoord Rotterdam0-5

WAExcelsior2-1

DHGo Ahead Eagles3-3

PEC Zwolle

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · goals 6-14

DLLLW

WHGo Ahead Eagles4-1

LHSC Cambuur0-1

LAFC Groningen0-3

LHFeyenoord Rotterdam0-7

DASparta Rotterdam2-2

Head-to-head

2026-02-22

FC Utrecht1 - 1PEC Zwolle

2025-08-31

PEC Zwolle0 - 2FC Utrecht

2025-02-01

PEC Zwolle3 - 3FC Utrecht

2024-08-11

FC Utrecht1 - 0PEC Zwolle

2024-04-03

FC Utrecht5 - 1PEC Zwolle

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Team comparison

FC Utrecht

VS

PEC Zwolle

#138 ▲3Power Index 47.5

Power Ranking

#229 ▲4Power Index 32.8

€65m6th in the league

Squad value

€25m11th in the league

Anthony Correiasince 1 Jul 2026 · 9 games · 1.22 pts/game

Head coach

Mirjam Cliffordsince 1 Oct 2024 · 0 games

Sources: AI Goal Lab Power Ranking (weekly), squad values and coaches from Transfermarkt. Background facts; the model probabilities do not change because of them. Full ranking

analytics

What our model says vs what the market says

Big number: the chance our model gives. The dark tick on the bar and the small line show the chance implied by bookmaker odds. If they match, the odds look fair. Estimates, not guarantees.

Home win (1)

58%Market 58%

Draw (X)

21%Market 22%

Away win (2)

20%Market 21%

Over 2.5 goals

65%Market 65%

Both teams to score

62%Market: —

Expected goals

2.1 - 1.2

Most likely final scores

Most likely: FC Utrecht 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle (9.7%). Out of 100 matches like this, this is how many would end with each score.

1. 2 - 19.7%
2. 1 - 19.1%
3. 2 - 08.1%
4. 1 - 07.6%
5. 3 - 16.9%

Every score

Each box is one final score. Darker green means more likely.

Goals scored by PEC Zwolle

Goals scored by FC Utrecht

01234503.54.32.61.00.30.117.69.15.52.20.70.228.19.75.82.30.70.235.86.94.21.70.50.143.13.72.20.90.30.151.31.61.00.40.10.0

Lineups

The official lineups usually come out about an hour before kickoff. This page updates when they do.

Form

FC Utrecht

Last 5, most recent first

WWLWD

Goals per game, for / against2.0 / 2.2

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Away, W-D-L (last 10)2-1-2

PEC Zwolle

Last 5, most recent first

WLLLD

Goals per game, for / against1.2 / 2.8

Home, W-D-L (last 10)1-0-4

Away, W-D-L (last 10)1-1-2

Form and team news

FC Utrecht

3 W1 D1 L2.0 for2.2 against

FC Utrecht have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.2 per game.

PEC Zwolle

1 W1 D3 L1.2 for2.8 against

PEC Zwolle have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.8 per game.

Sources: team results from ESPN, absences from Transfermarkt.

Next matches of FC Utrecht

24/10/2026 · NED.1HomePEC Zwolle

1/11/2026 · NED.1AwayTelstar

8/11/2026 · NED.1HomeNEC Nijmegen

Next matches of PEC Zwolle

24/10/2026 · NED.1AwayFC Utrecht

1/11/2026 · NED.1HomeADO Den Haag

6/11/2026 · NED.1AwayWillem II

Our model gives FC Utrecht win 58%, draw 21%, PEC Zwolle win 20%. over 2.5 goals 65%. both teams to score 62%. expected goals 2.14 - 1.20. largest gap to the market: FC Utrecht win (1 points). Estimates, not guarantees.